Mets vs. Angels, 05/19/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#979 Anaheim Angels
vs.
#980 New York Mets

Friday, May 5 2017, at 7:10pm EDT

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (22-21 SU, 18-25 RL, 17-23-3 O/U) vs. New York Mets (16-23 SU, 14-25 RL, 25-8-6 O/U)

MLB: Friday, May 19, 2017, Citi Field, New York, New York, 7:10 pm ET

Lines: New York -150, Anaheim +140; Over/Under: 7.5

It’s the start of an interleague series between teams from opposite coasts in the Big Apple. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim open up a three game series with the sliding New York Mets Friday night. Anaheim has won four straight after sweeping the White Sox with a 12-8 home win in the finale Wednesday night. New York lost their seventh straight as they were swept in the desert with a 5-4, 11 inning loss Wednesday to Arizona. The Angels took two of three the last time the teams met, which was in Anaheim April 11-13, 2014.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Look to Stay Hot

Anaheim climbed over the .500 mark as they swept the White Sox at home with an offensive outburst Wednesday night. The Angels trailed 4-0 after one and a half innings only to score the next 12 runs to pick up the win. Cameron Maybin (two runs) had three hits in the win to lead Anaheim while Albert Pujols (two RBI), Ben Revere (two runs, RBI), Danny Espinosa (three runs, RBI) and Martin Maldonado (run, three RBI) each had a pair of hits. Mike Trout clobbered his 13th homer of the year and fifth in the last six games in the victory. Matt Shoemaker (4-3) picked up the win after allowing four runs (three earned) on nine hits with a walk and nine strikeouts over 6.1 innings.

Ricky Nolasco takes the mound for his ninth start of the season for the Angels in this contest. He is 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA, a 1.292 WHIP, 11 walks and 41 strikeouts over 45.2 innings of work though he has allowed 13 homers this season. Nolasco took a no-decision in his last start, which came Saturday at home against the Tigers. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts. The Angels lost the game, 4-3. Nolasco has no record with a 4.67 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, six walks and 20 strikeouts over 17.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his 27th career appearance and 25th start against the Mets in this contest. Nolasco is 6-8 with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.403 WHIP over 139.2 innings of work. He is 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.277 WHIP over 49.1 innings in his eight career starts at Citi Field.

New York Mets Reeling

New York has gone in the opposite direction of the Angels as Wednesday’s extra inning defeat marked their seventh straight loss. The Mets got three hits apiece from Jose Reyes (run, RBI) and Wilmer Flores though that wasn’t enough. Michael Conforto (his 10th) and Juan Lagares (his first) each homered for New York in a losing effort. Matt Harvey took a no decision after allowing three runs on six hits with four walks and five strikeouts over 5.1 innings. Rafael Montero (0-3) took the loss as the only batter he faced, Chris Herrmann, homered to end the game.

Jacob deGrom gets the call for the Mets here as he logs his seventh start of the year. He has a 2-1 record with a 4.07 ERA, a 1.356 WHIP, 20 walks and 67 strikeouts over 48.2 innings so far this season. In his last start, deGrom took a no-decision against the Brewers on the road Sunday. He threw six innings, allowing four runs on eight hits with one walks and seven strikeouts. The Mets lost the game 11-9 as the bullpen imploded, allowing eight runs in the final two innings. In his last three starts, deGrom is 1-0 with a 6.37 ERA, a 1.71 WHIP, nine walks and 23 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. He faces the Angels for the first time in his career in his 85th career start. This is deGrom’s 42nd career start at Citi Field: he is 16-11 with a 2.02 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 262.1 innings in those contests.

Trends:

Anaheim

  • Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 overall
  • Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass
  • Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record

New York

  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day
  • Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

The Mets have the advantage in starting pitching in this one but the fact remains that the team is floundering. Even with a solid enough outing in his last start, deGrom ended up with a no-decision as the bullpen melted down, something that has happened all too often this season. The Angels swept the White Sox and climbed above .500 on the year. Trout is on a torrid run right now and he makes the Angels a dangerous team. Look for Anaheim to pick up the win in this contest to send New York to another loss.

Pick: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim +140

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.