Twins vs. Royals, 05/19/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#971 Kansas City Royals
vs.
#972 Minnesota Twins

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Kansas City Royals (16-23 SU, 14-23-2 O/U) v. Minnesota Twins (19-16 SU, 16-15-4 O/U) v. at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota

Friday, May 19th, 2017 at 8:10 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Nate Karns (R) 2-2, 4.46 ERA, 1.21 WHIP (KC)  v. Hector Santiago (L) 4-2, 3.80 ERA, 1.21 WHIP (MIN)

Money Line: Kansas City Royals +110 | Minnesota Twins -120

Over/Under: 8.0

The Minnesota Twins are hosting the Kansas City Royals in this showdown between division rivals. The Twins have had a pretty nice season thus far. They’re 19-17, which is good enough to top the AL Central standings. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Royals have stumbled through the season with a 16-23 record. The Royals are currently the last place team in the AL Central. They’re 4.5 games behind the Twins. Will the Royals make up ground by upsetting the Twins at Target Field in this one?

Royals trounced by the Yankees

The Kansas City Royals lost their second consecutive game on Wednesday night, falling 11-7 to the New York Yankees at home in Kansas City. The Royals actually trailed by 7 runs heading into the bottom of the 9th, but they managed to score 3 runs before ultimately losing. Kansas City’s lineup has struggled to score runs throughout the year. They’ve put up just 127 runs this season, which is the fewest runs scored in the majors.

Nate Karns will be making his ninth start of the season on Friday night. Karns has had a nice stretch recently. He has won his last two consecutive decisions, and the Royals are 3-0 in his last three starts. The right-handed veteran pitched five innings against the Baltimore Orioles in his last start. He allowed just 5 hits and 2 runs. Additionally, Karns struck out a dozen batters in a Royals win.

Twins drop third straight to the Rockies

The Minnesota Twins have been struggling in their series against the Colorado Rockies. The Twins fell to the Rockies in a 5-1 loss on Wednesday. It was Minnesota’s third consecutive loss. The Twins simply haven’t been scoring enough runs during their losing streak. They’ve scored just 7 runs in their last seven game stretch. The Twins are only batting .240 this season, which is among the worst batting averages in the American League.

Hector Santiago will try to forget his last start as he takes the mound against the Royals in this one. Santiago gave up 6 runs in just 2 and 2/3 innings in a loss to the Cleveland Indians the last time he took the mound. The southpaw was very generous in the loss, allowing 7 hits, including 2 home runs. Additionally, he walked 2 batters in his short stint on the hill. Santiago will try to bounce back as he takes on a bad Royals lineup on Friday night.

Trends

The Kansas City Royals are:

  • 6-15 in their last 21 games on grass.
  • 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.
  • 3-9 in their last 12 road games.
  • 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

The Minnesota Twins are:

  • 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
  • 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
  • 4-1 in Santiago’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Hector Santiago had a terrible outing in his last start against the Cleveland Indians, but he should be able to return to form at home on Friday night. Santiago was fantastic in his last start against the Royals. He allowed just 1 run in 5 innings while striking out 4 batters. Hector Santiago has been terrific at home this season. He has a 2.59 ERA in 24 and 1/3 innings at home in 2017. The Twins are 6-0 in their last six meetings with the Royals, and I think they’ll keep on rolling in this one. The Minnesota Twins will start their weekend with a win on Friday night in Minneapolis.

Pick: Minnesota Twins -120

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.