Marlins vs. Dodgers, 05/20/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#914 Los Angeles Dodgers
vs.
#913 Miami Marlins

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Miami Marlins (14-26 SU, 15-25 RL, 23-15-2 O/U) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (24-18 SU, 22-20 RL, 20-22-0 O/U)

When: 10:10 PM EDT, Saturday, May 20, 2017

Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California

Lines: Los Angeles -175/ Miami +165

Total: 8

Late night MLB action on Saturday evening and the Miami Marlins will square off with the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California in game three of their four-game series. The Marlins have won five of their last six meetings here in Los Angeles. Pitching Probables: Dan Straily will get the nod for the Marlins and he will be opposed by Julio Urias.

Marlins Are Searching for Offense

The Miami Marlins have really been struggling of late as they have gone just 1-9 in their last 10 games to fall to 12 games under .500 for the year, which ties them for the worst record in the league with the San Diego Padres. The Marlins have struggled on the mound all year, but now they are really struggling to find some offense. In their last 10 games, they have averaged just 2.80 rpg on .214 hitting. That is a real problem, especially since they have allowed 6.30 rpg over the same stretch of games. Hard to win with numbers like that and it doesn’t figure to be any easier for them here against a Los Angeles staff that is tops in the league in ERA. The Marlins scored just two runs in the opening 7-2 loss in this series and they will most likely struggle to score in this one. Getting the nod for the Marlins will be Dan Straily and he has gone 1-3 with a 3.56 ERA in eight starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA in three starts on the road. Straily has gone 5-5 with a 3.76 ERA in 16 career starts during the month of May, while against the Dodgers in his career he has gone 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in three games (one start).  

The Marlins have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 24th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.08 rpg, while also ranking 15th in hitting at .253 and 17th in homers with 47. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 24th in the league in ERA at 4.58, while also ranking 25th in WHIP at 1.43.

Dodgers Have Been Strong At Home

The Los Angeles Dodgers have struggled on the road this year, but here at home they have gone 14-6 so far and have really been winning many of their games rather easily. They Dodgers have averaged 5.65 rpg and have allowed just 3.00 rpg at home so far and they took game one of this series by five runs. Their strong pitching staff will look to keep a weak Miami offense at bay, while the offense continues to do their thing, especially since they have hit .298 against righties at home for the year so far. The Dodgers got off to a mediocre start this year, but they have been playing much better of late and are now just two games out of first in the National League. It really feels like it’s just a matter of time before they take over the top spot in the division. Julio Urias will toe the rubber for the Dodgers and he has gone 0-1 with a 3.43 ERA in four starts, including 0-0 with a 0.79 ERA in two starts here at home. Urias has gone 3-0 with a 2.54 ERA in 11 games ( nine starts) here at Dodger Stadium in his career. This will be his first career meeting with the Marlins.

The Dodgers have been a very solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.98 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .264 and 21st in homers with 43. On the mound they have been strong as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.31, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.18.

Trends

Miami is:

  • 7-15 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • 0-8 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record

Los Angeles is:

  • 44-14 in their last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 8-2 in Urias’ last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record

The Marlins have very little offense and that will continue to be their issue in this series as the Dodgers have the best ERA in the league and an ERA of 2.80 here at home. The Marlins have averaged just 2.80 rpg in their last 10 games and they have allowed 6.0 rpg in Dan Straily’s last three starts, He has pitched well of late, but the Dodgers have averaged a solid 5.65 rpg here at home for the year. The Marlins just won’t find enough offense to win this game.

Pick: Los Angeles -175

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.