Mets vs. Angels, 05/20/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#929 Los Angeles Angels
vs.
#930 New York Mets

Saturday, May 5 2017, at 7:15pm EDT

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (22-21 SU, 18-25 RL, 17-23-3 O/U) vs. New York Mets (16-23 SU, 14-25 RL, 25-8-6 O/U)

MLB: Satuday, May 20, 2017, Citi Field, New York, New York, 7:15 pm ET

Lines: New York -135, Anaheim +125; Over/Under: 8

It’s the middle game of an interleague series between teams from opposite coasts in the Big Apple. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim continue a three game series with the sliding New York Mets Saturday night. Anaheim has won four straight after sweeping the White Sox with a 12-8 home win in the finale Wednesday night. New York lost their seventh straight as they were swept in the desert with a 5-4, 11 inning loss Wednesday to Arizona. The pitching matchup for Friday’s series opener saw Ricky Nolasco pitch for the Angels against the Mets’ Jacob deGrom. First pitch was set for 7:10 pm ET.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Looking to Maintain Recent Momentum

Anaheim climbed over the .500 mark as they swept the White Sox at home with an offensive outburst Wednesday night. The Angels trailed 4-0 after one and a half innings only to score the next 12 runs to pick up the win. Cameron Maybin (two runs) had three hits in the win to lead Anaheim while Albert Pujols (two RBI), Ben Revere (two runs, RBI), Danny Espinosa (three runs, RBI) and Martin Maldonado (run, three RBI) each had a pair of hits. Mike Trout clobbered his 13th homer of the year and fifth in the last six games in the victory. Matt Shoemaker (4-3) picked up the win after allowing four runs (three earned) on nine hits with a walk and nine strikeouts over 6.1 innings.

Alex Meyer is on the mound to make his fifth start of the season for the Angels in this contest. He is 2-1 with a 5.59 ERA, a 1.603 WHIP, 14 walks and 21 strikeouts over 19.1 innings of work this season. Meyer won his second straight game in his last start, which came Sunday at home against Detroit. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in a 4-1 Angels victory. Meyer is 2-1 with a 5.74 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, 10 walks and 18 strikeouts over 15.2 innings in his last three starts. In his 14th major league appearance and his 11th career start, Meyer faces the Mets and pitches at Citi Field for the first time. With the pending signing of Doug Fister, it remains to be seen if Meyer will continue to hold a slot in the rotation.

New York Mets in Free Fall

New York has gone in the opposite direction of the Angels as Wednesday’s extra inning defeat marked their seventh straight loss. The Mets got three hits apiece from Jose Reyes (run, RBI) and Wilmer Flores though that wasn’t enough. Michael Conforto (his 10th) and Juan Lagares (his first) each homered for New York in a losing effort. Matt Harvey took a no decision after allowing three runs on six hits with four walks and five strikeouts over 5.1 innings. Rafael Montero (0-3) took the loss as the only batter he faced, Chris Herrmann, homered to end the game.

Zack Wheeler takes the hill and logs his eighth start of the season for the Mets in this contest. He comes in 2-2 with a 3.76 ERA, a 1.226 WHIP, 15 walks and 35 strikeouts over 38.1 innings of work this season after missing all of the last two years after Tommy John surgery. Wheeler took a no-decision in his last start, which came Monday at Arizona. He threw six innings, allowing a run on seven hits with a walk and six strikeouts. Unfortunately, the bullpen fell apart as they gave up six runs in the eighth, leading to a 7-3 Mets loss. Wheeler is 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, nine walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.2 innings in his last three starts. In his 57th career start, he faces the Angels for the first time. Wheeler is 7-12 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 136.2 innings of work.

Trends:

Anaheim

  • Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 road games
  • Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record

New York

  • Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games
  • Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter

The Angels clearly had momentum heading into this series while the Mets were fading in a hurry. Both pitchers have been throwing well of late though Meyer has the better luck as far as record goes. Wheeler has been sharp his last couple times out but the Mets’ bullpen has been atrocious. New York knows that things are slipping away in a hurry and they need to start picking up wins in a hurry if they want to stay in the playoff picture. Wheeler turns in another quality start and the Mets get a win here.

Pick: New York Mets -132

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.