Orioles vs. Blue Jays, 05/20/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#924 Baltimore Orioles
vs.
#923 Toronto Blue Jays

Saturday, May 5 2017, at 7:35pm EDT

Written by

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Toronto Blue Jays (18-24 SU, 20-19-2 O/U) v. Baltimore Orioles (23-16 SU, 19-17-2 O/U) at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland

Saturday, May 20th, 2017 at 7:35 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Mike Bolsinger (R) 0-2, 6.10 ERA, 1.65 WHIP (TOR) v. Kevin Gausman (R) 2-3, 7.19 ERA, 1.86 WHIP (BAL)

Money Line: Toronto Blue Jays +135 | Baltimore Orioles -145

Over/Under: 9.5

The Baltimore Orioles are hosting the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday in this showdown between AL East rivals. The Orioles are currently battling it out with the New York Yankees for the division’s top spot. The O’s have a 23-16 record. They’re just 1.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East standings. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are all the way down at the bottom of the standings with an 18-24 record. Which one of these division rivals will come out on top in this battle of the birds?

Jays clobber the Braves

The Toronto Blue Jays haven’t had a great season, but they looked great in Thursday night’s 9-0 victory over the Braves in Atlanta. The win snapped a three-game losing streak for the Jays. Toronto’s lineup racked up 12 hits against Atlanta’s overmatched pitching staff. The Blue Jays have struggled at the plate this year. They’re batting .238, which is the seventh worst batting average in the majors.

The Jays are sending Mike Bolsinger to the mound for his third start of the season. Bolsinger didn’t look good in his first two starts, which were both losses. In his most recent start, the righty gave up 8 hits and 5 earned runs in only 4 and 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves. Bolsinger has allowed 11 hits and 7 earned runs in his two outings this year. He’ll look to get his first win of the season as he takes the mound in Baltimore on Saturday night.

Orioles fall to the Tigers

The Baltimore Orioles couldn’t pull out a victory in their fourth and final game against the Tigers in Detroit. The O’s came away with a 6-5 loss in the series finale. It was their second consecutive loss. Baltimore’s lineup has looked pretty impressive this season. They have a .427 slugging percentage in 2017, which is the 9th best in Major League Baseball.

Kevin Gausman will be making his 10th start of the season on Saturday night. Gausman had a horrendous start against the Royals in his last outing. The right-handed veteran gave up 9 hits and 5 earned runs in only 3 and 1/3 innings of action. Of course, he came away with a loss in that start against the Royals. Gausman will try to bounce back as he takes on a bad Blue Jays lineup on Saturday.

Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are:

  • 7-15 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Baltimore Orioles are:

  • 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
  • 7-1 in Gausman’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 10-2 in Gausman’s last 12 home starts.
  • 5-1 in Gausman’s last 6 Saturday starts.

The Orioles have had a rough time lately, but I think they can get back on track as they return home to Camden Yards. The O’s have won six consecutive games in Baltimore. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have really struggled against the Orioles in their last few meetings. The Jays have gone just 1-5 in their last five games against the O’s. Additionally, they’re 2-5 in their last 7 trips to Baltimore. I like the Orioles to beat the Blue Jays on Saturday night in this one.

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -145

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.