Rays vs. Yankees, 05/20/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#915 New York Yankees
vs.
#916 Tampa Bay Rays

Saturday, May 5 2017, at 4:10pm EDT

Written by

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

New York Yankees (24-14 SU, 25-13 RL, 23-15-0 O/U) vs Tampa Bay Rays (21-22 SU, 24-19 RL, 26-17-0 O/U)

When: 4:10 PM EDT, Saturday, May 20, 2017

Where: Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida

Lines: New York -118/ Tampa Bay +108

Total: 8

American League East MLB action on Saturday afternoon and the New York Yankees will rumble with the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida in game two of their three-game series. The Yankees have won four of the last five games in this series. Pitching Probables: The Yankees will trot out Masahiro Tanaka in this game and the Rays will counter with Matt Andriese.

Offense Struggles In Finale vs Royals

The New York Yankees have not had a whole lot of issues at the plate, but they did so in their series finale against the Royals. In that game, they lost by a score of 5-1 and were able to muster just seven hits in the game while striking out 14 times. It just was not a good offensive showing for them and after scoring 36 runs in their previous four games. They are still one of the best offensive teams in the league and their pitching is also very strong and that is why they have a 1.5 game lead over the Orioles in the American League East. At 10 games over .500, they own the 2nd best record in baseball right now. Taking the hill for the Yankees will be Masahiro Tanaka and he has gone 5-2 with a 5.80 ERA in eight starts this year so far, including 2-1 with a 4.94 ERA in four starts on the road. Tanaka has gone 9-2 with a 3.42 ERA in 14 career starts in May and 19-7 with a 3.69 ERA in 33 career day starts, while against the Rays in his career he is 6-1 with a 3.79 ERA in nine starts, including 3-1 with a 4.37 ERA in four starts here at Tropicana Field.

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.79 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .274 and 3rd in homers with 59. On the mound they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 6th in the league in ERA at 3.82, while also ranking 4th in WHIP at 1.23.

Offense Is Waking Up For The Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten great pitching in the early going so far and now their hitting is starting to catch up to it some. The Rays won three of their last four games of their recent road trip and they averaged 7.75 rpg in those four games. Now they are back home and have averaged a solid 5.00 rpg here at the Trop so far. In this game, they will face Masahiro Tanaka, who has had his struggles of late, but still, they are facing one of the best pitching staffs in the league overall, so it will be interesting to see if their offense will have much success in this series. They will need to score runs because the Yankees will surely get theirs. The Rays will be sending out Matt Andriese in this one and he has gone 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in eight starts this year, including 2-0 with a 3.95 ERA in five starts here at home. Andriese has gone 5-0 with a 2.43 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) during the month of May and 5-7 with a 4.70 ERA in 20 games (13 starts) in daytime, while against the Yankees he has gone 1-2 with a 4.97 ERA in six games (four starts).

Tampa Bay has been an average offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.65 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .248 and 4th in homers with 59. On the mound they have been very good in the early going as they come in ranked 4th in the league in ERA at 3.75, while also ranking 8th in WHIP at 1.26.

Trends

New York is:

  • 4-12 in their last 16 games on astroturf

Tampa Bay is:

  • 4-1 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter

Masahiro Tanaka has not had a good start as far as his ERA is concerned, but he still has a winning record on the year and that is thanks to the Yankee offense has been very good this year. Still, I feel this is a game that the Rays can win. Matt Andriese has pitched well this year and in this park in his career. The Yankees will score some here, but an improving Tampa Bay offense will also get their runs off the struggling Masahiro Tanaka, who allowed seven ERs earlier this year in this park. THis should be a good game with the Rays finding just a bit more offense than the Yankees.

Pick: Tampa Bay +108

The Yankees have been one of the better teams in terms of pitching this year, but Masahiro Tanaka has not been a part of that as he has a 5.80 ERA in eight starts so far. He is 5-2 in those games and his game have averaged 10.8 rpg, while his last three starts have averaged 15.6 rpg. He has gone 3-1 in this park, but with a 4.37 ERA in those games ands the Rays have averaged a solid 5.00 rpg here at home for the Year. The Yankees have one of the best offenses in the league and while Andriese has pitched well this year so far, he does have a 4.97 ERA in his career against the Yankees. Andriese’s five home starts this year have averaged 10.60 rpg. Look for this game to go Over the total.  

Pick: Over 8

5

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.