Twins vs. Royals, 05/20/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#919 Kansas City Royals
#920 Minneapolis Twins

Saturday, May 5 2017, at 2:10pm EDT

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Kansas City Royals (17-23 SU, 17-23 RL, 14-24-2 O/U) vs. Minnesota Twins (20-17 SU, 21-16 RL, 16-17-4 O/U)

MLB: Saturday, May 20, 2017 at 2:10 p.m. EST

The Line: Kansas City -107/Minnesota -103. Total:8.5

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals will continue a three-game series when they meet again at Target Field in Minnesota on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City’s win over the Yankees on Thursday improved its record to 5-2 in the last seven contests–an incredible hot streak by its 2017 standards. The Twins recently dropped two of three in a series against Colorado.

The Moose is loose

Royals’ third baseman Mike Moustakas hit a three-run homer in Thursday’s 5-1 win over the Yankees, giving him two blasts and eight RBIs over his last four games. Moustakas is batting .257 this season with 10 home runs, 22 RBIs, and 20 runs scored. Kansas City has crossed the plate a mere 132 times in 2017 (by far the fewest in the entire major leagues), but it has churned out 22 runs in the last four contests.

Right-hander Ian Kennedy is getting the start for Kansas City on Saturday. The offensively-challenged Royals have not been giving run support to anybody this season and Kennedy is no exception. The right-hander is saddled with an 0-3 record despite sporting a 3.03 ERA. He has allowed three runs or fewer in five of his six starts–including no more than two runs on four occasions. Kennedy has spent the past two weeks on the disabled list with a hamstring injury but will be activated this weekend.

Playing longball

With a homer by outfielder Byron Buxton on Wednesday, the Twins tied their longest streak of consecutive games with at least one home run (16). The last time Minnesota had accomplished that feat was a stretch in April and May during the 1979 campaign. It came to an end on Thursday, when the Twins failed to go deep in either of two double-header installments.

Adam Wilk will oppose Kennedy on Saturday. The left-hander was waived by the Mets earlier this month and promptly picked up by Minnesota. He has made two appearances this year (one for each team) and is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. In his first outing with the Twins this past Sunday, Wilk relieved struggling starter Hector Santiago early in an 8-3 loss and went 3.1 innings while allowing two runs on two walks and three hits.

MLB Trends

The Kansas City Royals are

  • 6-2 Over in their last eight road games against teams with losing home records
  • 5-2 Over in their last seven road games
  • 4-0-2 Over in their last six games against Minnesota

The Minnesota Twins are:

  • 11-5-1 Over in their last 17 overall
  • 8-3-1 Over in their last 12 home games
  • 20-6-1 Over in their last 27 home games against teams with losing road records

The Twins’ offense has struggled of late, but another date with Kansas City may be just what the doctor ordered. They have outscored the Royals 34-14 this year, including 21-5 during the season-opening three-game series in Minnesota. Kennedy has been solid so far in 2017, but it remains to be seen how he will fare following a stint on the disabled list. The over is 6-2 in the Royals’ last eight on the road against opponents with losing home records and 5-2 in their last seven on the road. It is also 11-5-1 in the Twins’ last 17 overall, 8-3-1 in their last 12 at home, and 20-6-1 in their last 27 at home against opponents with losing road records. Additionally, the over is 4-0-2 in the last six meetings between the two teams and 9-1-2 in Minnesota’s last 12 at Kansas City. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: Over

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.