White Sox vs. Mariners, 05/20/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#928 Seattle Mariners
vs.
#927 Chicago White Sox

Saturday, May 5 2017, at 10:10pm EDT

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Chicago White Sox (17-22 SU, 21-18 RL, 18-18-3 O/U) vs. Seattle Mariners (20-22 SU, 20-22 RL, 22-20 O/U)

MLB: Saturday, May 20, 2017, Safeco Field, Seattle, Washington, 10:10 pm ET

Lines: Seattle -162, Chicago +152; Over/Under: 8.5

It’s the third game of a weekend series between a pair of teams up in the Pacific Northwest. The Chicago White Sox try to stop the bleeding as they face the Seattle Mariners Saturday night. Seattle won the opening game of the set, taking a 5-4 win Thursday night. The pitching matchup for Friday’s second game of the series saw Jose Quintana take the mound for the White Sox while Seattle sent Ariel Miranda to the hill. First pitch in that contest was set for 10:10 pm ET.

Chicago White Sox Continuing to Struggle

Chicago lost for the ninth time in 11 games as they lost in walk-off fashion Thursday night. The White Sox rallied from a 4-0 deficit by scoring twice in the seventh and twice in the eighth before giving up the winning run in the bottom of the ninth. Tim Anderson (two runs, RBI) had three hits for the White Sox while Todd Frazier (run, RBI) and Avisail Garcia each had two hits. Anderson (his fourth), Frazier (his fourth) and Matt Davidson (his seventh) each homered for Chicago in the loss. Dylan Covey took a no-decision on the mound after allowing four runs on five hits with three walks and a strikeout over six innings. Dan Jennings (2-1) took the loss after allowing a run on two hits with a walk in two-thirds of an inning.

Mike Pelfrey takes the ball for his sixth start of the year in this contest for the White Sox still seeking his first win. He is 0-4 with a 5.80 ERA, a 1.394 WHIP, 10 walks and eight strikeouts over 23.2 innings of work. Pelfrey took the loss in his last start, which came Monday on the road against the Angels. He allowed four runs on three hits with three walks and two strikeouts over 4.2 innings as the White Sox fell 5-3. Pelfrey is 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, five walks and five strikeouts over 14.2 innings in his last three starts. This is his fourth career start against the Mariners: he is 0-1 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.527 WHIP over 18.1 innings of work. In his 247th major league appearance and his 241st career start, Pelfrey pitches at Safeco Field for the first time.

Seattle Mariners Trying to Climb Toward .500 Mark

Seattle nearly let a lead slip away but managed to rally in the last of the ninth to come up with a victory. The Mariners are still trying to get to the .500 mark on the year. Jarrod Dyson (three runs, RBI) scored the winning run in the bottom of the ninth on a hit by Guillermo Heredia, who was pinch-hitting for Ben Gamel, who also had two hits. Dyson (his second) and Jean Segura (his fourth), who extended his hitting streak to 17 games, homered for the Mariners. Sam Gaviglio took a no-decision despite a solid start where he threw five scoreless frames, allowing three hits with a walk and two strikeouts. After the bullpen let the White Sox tie the game, Nick Vincent (2-1) picked up the win with a scoreless ninth.

Yovani Gallardo is on the mound for the Mariners as he makes his ninth start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, 17 walks and 32 strikeouts over 45.2 innings of work. Gallardo took a no-decision in his last outing, which came Monday at home against Oakland. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing three runs on four hits with two walks and five strikeouts. Seattle won the game, 6-5. Gallardo is 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, seven walks and nine strikeouts over 17.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his fourth career start against the White Sox in this one: he is 1-0 with a 1.06 ERA and a 1.118 WHIP over 17 innings in those games. Gallardo is 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.356 WHIP over 34.2 innings in his six career starts at Safeco Field.

Trends:

Chicago

  • White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 road games
  • White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League West
  • White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall

Seattle

  • Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass
  • Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record

The White Sox have really floundered over the last couple of weeks and sending Pelfrey, a guy with as many wins this season as you, not to mention a career mark of 30 games below .500, isn’t awe inspiring. The fact remains that right now, if it isn’t Jose Quintana going for the White Sox, you can fade Chicago pretty heavily. Gallardo isn’t blowing hitters away but he’s still effective. Look for Seattle to come up with a victory at home here as Pelfrey continues to struggle.

 

Pick: Seattle Mariners -162

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.