Mariners vs. Tigers, 06/19/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#920 Seattle Mariners
vs.
#919 Detroit Tigers

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Tigers (32-36 SU, 34-34 RL, 36-29-3 O/U) vs. Seattle Mariners (34-37 SU, 33-38 RL, 34-35-2 O/U)

MLB: Monday, June 19, 2017, Safeco Field, Seattle, Washington, 10:10 pm ET

Lines: Seattle -134, Detroit +124; Over/Under: 9.5

A pair of teams looking to make up some ground in the American League wild-card race open up a series in the Pacific Northwest. The Detroit Tigers kick off a four game series against the Seattle Mariners Monday night. Detroit lost the finale of a four game set with the Rays 9-1 at home Sunday to end up with a split. Seattle salvaged the finale of a three game set against the Rangers on the road with a 7-3 victory Sunday afternoon. The Mariners won two of three in Detroit in the first series between the teams this season April 25-27.

Detroit Tigers Look to Get Back in Win Column

Detroit took the first two games of their set with the Rays in convincing fashion but things went sideways in a hurry. The Tigers dropped the final two games of the set, including a blowout loss Sunday. Alex Avila (run) and Dixon Machado each had two hits for Detroit in the loss. Justin Upton drove in the lone Tigers run: after the Tigers scored in the bottom of the first, they were blanked the rest of the way. Buck Farmer (2-1) took the loss as he was shelled on the mound. He allowed seven runs on seven hits with a walk and two strikeouts over 2.1 innings of action.

Anibal Sanchez is expected to be called up from Triple-A Toledo to make a spot start here. He makes his 12th appearance and first start of the season for the Tigers in this contest. Sanchez is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA, a 2.048 WHIP, nine walks and 22 strikeouts over 21 innings of work. He took a no-decision in his last relief appearance, which was against Texas back on May 19. Sanchez threw 2.1 scoreless innings, allowing one hit with no walks and two strikeouts in a 5-3 Detroit loss. He makes his seventh career appearance and fifth start against the Mariners in this contest. Sanchez is 3-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.418 WHIP over 30.1 innings in those games. He is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.378 WHIP over 12.1 innings in two career starts at Safeco Field.

Seattle Mariners Seek to Close Gap in AL Wild Card Race

Seattle won the finale of their three game series on the road over the Rangers. In the process, the Mariners knocked off Yu Darvish to avoid the sweep. Seattle jumped out with a four run first and never looked back in the game. Kyle Seager (two runs, three RBI) had three hits to lead the Mariners while Ben Gamel (run) and Robinson Cano (run) each had two hits. Danny Valencia hit his seventh homer of the year for the Mariners. Christian Bergman (4-4) got the win on the mound after allowing two runs on four hits with two walks and one strikeout over 5.2 innings of work.

Rookie Sam Gaviglio takes the mound for his eighth major league appearance and seventh start for the Mariners in this contest. He has a 3-1 record to go with a 3.41 ERA, a 1.165 WHIP, eight walks and 24 strikeouts over 34.1 innings this season. Gaviglio picked up the win in his last start, which came Wednesday against the Twins on the road. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing four runs on five hits with no walks and five strikeouts in a 6-4 Seattle victory. Gaviglio is 2-0 with a 3.31 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, three walks and 16 strikeouts over 16.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his first career appearance against the Tigers in this contest. Gaviglio is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA and a 1.063 WHIP over 16 innings in his three career starts at Safeco Field.

Trends:

Detroit

  • Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League West

Seattle

  • Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games
  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series
  • Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days

Detroit is a bit worn out, especially in the bullpen after the weekend set with the Rays. Sanchez was called up to take a spot start to try and give the team a little bit of a breather. Seattle is a very good team at home, which is the major reason they are within striking distance of the .500 mark. The Mariners are slated to get Felix Hernandez back by the end of the week, which will lead to a shuffling of the rotation. For this one, Gaviglio leads the Mariners to another home victory.

Pick: Seattle Mariners -134

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.