Mets vs. Dodgers, 06/19/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#910 Los Angeles Dodgers
vs.
#909 New York Mets

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

New York Mets (30-37; 40-19-8 O/U) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (43-26; 33-35-1 O/U)

MLB: Monday, June 19, 2017 at 10:10pm EST

Line: Los Angeles -298/New York +268

Total: 7

The Los Angeles Dodgers will square off with the New York Mets in the first of a four game series Monday night from Dodger Stadium. The Mets will give the nod to 27-year-old right-hander Zack Wheeler, and the Dodgers will counter with 29-year old left-hander Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers won last year’s seasons series 4-3.

Wheeler Crushed by Cubs in Worst Start of Season

Zack Wheeler will make his 13th start of the year, hoping to rebound from a disastrous outing. Wheeler surrendered eight runs including two homers in 1.2 innings to the Cubs in his previous start, and was charged with his fourth loss of the season. The young right-hander is having a promising season with the exception of his latest start, sporting a 4.48 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP to go with a 3-4 record in 64.1 innings pitched. Wheeler, who will be facing the Dodgers for the first time of his career, continues to have command issues, walking a total of 29 batters this season, resulting in a 4.06 BB/9 ratio. Yoenis Cespedes finally looks to be fully healthy as he returns from a hamstring injury that kept him out of the lineup for close to two months. The 31-year old left fielder has not shown any rust, going 11 for 24 with six RBI’s since his return, and is hitting .322 with eight homers and 16 RBI’s on the season. Cespedes has driven in five runs in nine career games against the Dodgers.

The Mets are scoring an average of 4.87 runs per game, ranking them 11th overall, and are hitting .248 as a team. The New York pitching continues to be an issue, posting a 4.91 team ERA, positioning them down at 25th in the Majors.

Kershaw Looks to Continue Career Dominance over Mets

Clayton Kershaw will take the mound for the 15th time of the season, looking to add another win to his record. Kershaw was strong once again in his previous start, allowing two runs in seven innings to the Indians, notching the victory to bring his record to 9-2. The Dodgers Ace is having another phenomenal season, sporting a dazzling 2.23 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 97 innings pitched. He has completed dominated the Mets throughout his career, boasting a perfect 7-0 record with a minuscule 1.29 ERA in 11 career starts. Jay Bruce is 5 for 20 with two homers against Kershaw, while Neil Walker is 2 for 15, and Yoenis Cespedes is 0 for 9. Cody Bellinger is one of the hottest players in all of baseball right now, smashing seven home runs along with 12 RBI’s over his last seven games. The 21-year old left fielder is having an incredible rookie season, hitting .262 with a team-leading 19 home runs and 43 RBI’s in 49 games played. Bellinger is a leading candidate for the NL Rookie of the Year.

The Dodgers are swinging the bats well right now, currently averaging 4.94 runs per game, ranking them seventh in the Majors, and feature a .251 team batting average. The L.A. pitching continues to excel, sporting a Major League best 3.33 team ERA.

Trends:

The New York Mets are:

  • under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
  • under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.

The L.A. Dodgers are:

  • under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Mets.
  • under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against the NL East.

I believe the under is the best play in this contest. Kershaw has completely dominated the Mets over his illustrious career, sporting a 1.29 ERA and a 7-0 record in 11 starts, and he has allowed only a combined four runs over his last three starts (21 innings). Furthermore, Wheeler has allowed three or fewer runs in seven out of his last eight starts, plus he features a strong 2.74 ERA on the road this season, so he should be able to hold down the Dodgers bats.

Pick: Under 7

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.