Reds vs. Rays, 06/19/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#922 Tampa Bay Rays
vs.
#921 Cincinnati Reds

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Cincinnati Reds (29-39 SU, 36-32 RL, 39-25-4 O/U) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (37-35 SU, 38-34 RL, 42-29=1 O/U)

MLB: Monday, June 19, 2017, Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida, 7:10 pm ET

Lines: Tampa Bay -135, Cincinnati +125; Over/Under: 9

It’s the opener of an interleague set down in the Sunshine State. The Cincinnati Reds are on the road as they play the first of three against the Tampa Bay Rays Monday night. Cincinnati lost their ninth straight game as they were swept by the Dodgers with an 8-7 home loss in the series finale Sunday afternoon. Tampa Bay ended up with a split of their four game road set with the Tigers, winning the finale 9-1 Sunday afternoon. The Rays won two of three the last time the teams met, which came in Cincinnati April 11-13, 2014.

Cincinnati Reds Try to Stop Slide

Cincinnati lost their ninth in a row as they fell apart at home against the Dodgers to endure a third straight sweep. The Reds rallied to within a run after trailing 8-1 but couldn’t push across the equalizer in the contest. Cincinnati got three hits from Billy Hamilton (two runs, RBI) while Adam Duvall (run, RBI) had two hits in the contest. Duvall (his 16th), Eugenio Suarez (his 11th) and Scooter Gennett (his eighth) each homered in the loss. Bronson Arroyo (3-6) took the loss on the mound as he allowed five runs on seven hits with no walks and three strikeouts over three innings.

Scott Feldman makes his 15th start of the season for the Reds in this contest. He is 5-5 with a 4.29 ERA, a 1.339 WHIP, 27 walks and 62 strikeouts over 77.2 innings of work. Feldman took the loss in his last start, which came at San Diego Tuesday night. He allowed four runs on eight hits with two walks and six strikeouts over five innings in a 6-2 Reds defeat. Feldman is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, five walks and 11 strikeouts over 16.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his 18th career appearance and eighth starts against the Rays in this contest. Feldman is 4-3 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 56 innings in those contests. He is 1-2 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.219 WHIP over 21.1 innings in six appearances, three starts, at Tropicana Field in his career.

Tampa Bay Rays Look to Maintain Momentum

Tampa Bay rallied after dropping the first two games of the set against the Tigers by taking the last two for a series split. The Rays broke open a close game by scoring five times in the third inning and cruised the rest of the way. Corey Dickerson (run) had three hits to lead Tampa Bay while Logan Morrison (three runs, three RBI) and Steven Souza Jr. (run, four RBI) each had two hits. Morrison (his 20th and 21st), Derek Norris (his eighth), Souza Jr. (his 13th) and Evan Longoria (his 10th) all went deep in the win. The offensive bonanza was enough for rookie Jacob Faria (3-0), who tossed seven innings, allowing a run on six hits with a walk and nine strikeouts, to get the win.

Jake Odorizzi is slated to make his 13th start of the year in this contest. He hopes to put his injury woes behind him after missing a couple starts earlier in the year. Odorizzi is 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA, a 1.226 WHIP, 21 walks and 55 strikeouts over 62 innings of work. He recorded a no-decision in his last start, which came Wednesday on the road against Toronto. Odorizzi threw 4.1 innings, allowing five runs (three earned) on five hits with three walks and four strikeouts in a 7-6 Tampa Bay loss. He is 0-1 with a 6.08 ERA, a 1.80 WHIP, seven walks and 14 strikeouts over 13.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his first career start against the Reds in this contest, which is his 114th major league appearance and 111th start. Odorizzi is 19-16 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.111 WHIP in 57 appearances, 55 starts, covering 330.1 innings at Tropicana Field in his career.

Trends:

Cincinnati

  • 0-8 after a loss.
  • 0-9 last 9 overall.

Tampa Bay 

  • 5-1 last 6 home games.
  • 6-0 last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Reds were a nice story in the month of April but things have fallen apart. Nine straight losses, six to the Dodgers and three to the Padres, has really taken the bloom off the proverbial rose. Going on the road isn’t going to help the Reds’ woes as they are just 10-21 as the visiting team this season. Tampa Bay is playing well and with home field in their corner, you have to give the edge to the Rays. Odorizzi puts together a solid outing as the Reds’ losing skid reaches double digits.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -135

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.