Padres vs. Rockies, 07/17/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#911 San Diego Padres
vs.
#912 Colorado Rockies

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San Diego Padres (39-51; 44-41-5 O/U) vs. Colorado Rockies (52-41; 37-50-6 O/U)

MLB: Monday, July 17, 2017 at 8:40pm EST

Line: Colorado -178/San Diego +168

Total: 12

The Colorado Rockies will take on the San Diego Padres as the NL West foes kick off a three game series Monday night from Coors Field. The Padres will give the start to 24-year old right-hander Luis Perdomo, and the Rockies will counter with 22-year old right-hander German Marquez. The Rockies lead the season series 5-4.

Perdomo Targets Fourth Consecutive Victory

Luis Perdomo will make his 16th start of the season, eying his fourth consecutive victory. Perdomo allowed two runs (one earned) in five innings to the Indians in his latest start before the break, and recorded the win. The young right-hander is showing some signs of potential, and is currently carrying a 4.54 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP to go with a 4-4 record in 83.1 innings logged. He faced the Rockies earlier this season and was excellent, holding them to one runs in six innings, however he owns a 5.32 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies. Nolan Arenado is 3 for 10 with two homers against Perdomo, while Carlos Gonzalez is 5 for 10 with three RBI’s, and DJ LeMaheiu is 4 for 10. Austin Hedges continues to produce, collecting five RBI’s with two homers over his last five games. The 24-year old catcher is another young talented Padres hitter, currently sporting a .218 average with 13 home runs and 41 RBI’s. Hedges is 4 for 28 with two homers and three RBI’s against the Rockies this season.

The low-scoring Padres are  averaging a Major League low 3.57 runs per game, and own a weak .228 team batting average. The San Diego pitching possesses a 4.62 team ERA, positioning them 20th in the Majors.

Marquez Looks to Avoid Second Straight Loss to Padres

German Marquez will make his 15th start of the season, aiming for his seventh win of the year. Marquez lasted started on July 7th and pitched well, conceding three runs in seven innings to the White Sox and notched the win. The rookie right-hander has been roughed up a few times, however overall he is having a strong season, posting a 4.36 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP to go with a 6-4 record in 76.1 innings of work. He faced the Padres last month and was hit-hard, serving up six runs in five innings and took the loss, and has now allowed nine runs in 8.1 career innings pitched against San Diego. DJ LeMahieu has been productive against the Padres this season, hitting .333 with one homer and six RBI’s. The 29-year old second baseman is having another terrific season, hitting .309 with four home runs and 41 RBI’s. LeMahieu has driven in three runs over his last six games.

The Rockies deep lineup is scoring an average of 5.01 runs per game, good for fifth in the Major Leagues, and feature a .268 team batting average. The Colorado pitching is carrying a 4.59 team ERA, ranking them 19th in the Majors.

Trends:

The San Diego Padres are:

  • under is 8-1 in Perdomo’s last 9 road starts.
  • under is 9-1 in their last 10 road games.
  • under is 5-0 in their last 5 games at Coors Field.

The Colorado Rockies are:

  • under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
  • under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a right-handed starter.
  • under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games overall.

I am taking the under in this contest. Perdomo owns a solid 3.10 ERA over his last five starts, and he held the Rockies to one run in six innings in the latest meeting. Furthermore, Marquez has allowed three or fewer runs in five out of his last six starts, and the Padres are averaging a measly three runs per game over their last ten games. The Rockies have slowed down offensively as well, making the under a strong play in this one.

Pick: Under 12

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.