Royals vs. Tigers, 07/17/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#922 Kansas City Royals
vs.
#921 Detroit Tigers

Monday, July 7 2017, at 8:15pm EDT

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Tigers (41-49 SU, 46-38-6 O/U) v. Kansas City Royals (45-45 SU, 40-45-2 O/U) at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

Monday, July 17th, 2017 at 8:15 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Jordan Zimmerman (R) 5-7, 5.87 ERA, 1.52 WHIP (DET) v. Jason Vargas (L) 12-3, 2.62 ERA, 1.15 WHIP (KC)

Money Line: Detroit Tigers +145 | Kansas City Royals -155

Over/Under: 10

The Kansas City Royals are hosting the Detroit Tigers in this AL Central showdown on Monday night. These two clubs are both trying to climb up the division standings. The Royals are 45-45, and they’re two games behind the division-leading Cleveland Indians. The Tigers are a little bit further down on the totem pole. They’re six games back in the AL Central with a 41-49 record. Which one of these clubs will inch closer to the Indians with a win on Sunday?

Tigers beat the Jays in extra innings

The Detroit Tigers found a way to come away with a 6-5 win over the Toronto Blue Jays after 11 innings on Sunday. The Tigers only had 8 hits compared to 10 by the Jays, but they made them count. Justin Upton has been a huge contributor for Detroit’s offense. Upton leads the Tigers in batting average (.271) and RBIs (56). He also has 15 home runs in 2017. The Tigers will need Justin Upton to step up if they expect to beat Jason Vargas and the Royals on Monday.

Jordan Zimmerman will get the nod for the Tigers in this one. Zimmerman has really been struggling this season. The right-hander had a horrific outing in his last start against the Indians in Cleveland. Zimmerman only lasted 3 innings in a losing effort. He gave up 8 hits and 5 runs against the Tribe. He’ll try to bounce back as he takes on the Royals in this one.

Royals top the Rangers

The Kansas City Royals came up with a 4-3 victory over the Texas Rangers on Sunday. The win snapped a five-game losing streak for the Royals. Kansas City’s lineup has really been struggling this season. The Royals have only scored 365 runs this season, which is the fourth-fewest in the majors. Furthermore, they have the second-worst on-base percentage (.299) in either league.

Jason Vargas will get the start against the Tigers in this one. Vargas has had an incredible season thus far. However, he struggled in his last outing. The veteran lefty gave up 8 hits and 6 runs in 5 innings against the Mariners in Seattle. His start against the M’s resulted in a no-decision, but he was lucky to escape without a loss. Vargas will try to pick up his 13th win of the season on Monday against the Tigers.

Trends

The Detroit Tigers are:

  • 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
  • 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
  • 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 3-7 in Zimmermann’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 2-7 in Zimmermann’s last 9 starts vs. American League Central.
  • 1-9 in Zimmermann’s last 10 road starts.

The Kansas City Royals are:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • 7-0 in Vargas’ last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 11-1 in Vargas’ last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
  • 21-6 in Vargas’ last 27 starts.

Jason Vargas has been fantastic on the mound. He has been ridiculously good at home. Vargas has a 7-1 record at home in 9 starts this season. He has a 1.84 ERA, and opposing batters are hitting just .221 against the lefty at Kauffman Stadium. The Tigers have been terrible on the road, and I think they’ll have a tough time against Vargas in this one. I like the Royals to win this one on Monday night in Kansas City.

Pick: Kansas City Royals -155

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.