Brewers vs. Rockies, 10/1/16 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#962 Colorado Rockies
vs.
#961 Milwaukee Brewers

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports
Milwaukee Brewers (71-88 SU, 84-75 RL, 74-76-9 OU) vs Colorado Rockies (74-85 SU, 82-77 RL, 76-79-4 OU)

When: 8:10 PM ET, Saturday, October 1, 2016

Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado

Lines: Colorado -173/ Milwaukee +163

Total: 12

Saturday evening baseball and the Milwaukee Brewers will invade Coors Field in Denver, Colorado to battle it out with the Colorado Rockies in game two of a three game set. The Over is 20-6-1 the last 27 games in this series overall. Pitching Probables: Wily Peralta vs Tyler Anderson.

Finding Offense Will Be Key For Next Year

The Milwaukee Brewers have not had a good year and are thankful that it is nearly over. They are currently 17 games under .500 for the year and are just 30-48 on the road. They have been horrible on the road this year and it has been their play on the road that may have kept them out of the playoffs this year. The offense is another reason. Ryan Braun and Chris Carter can’t do it alone and they will have to find more offense for next year as the pitching looks like it will be very solid. Taking the hill for the Brewers in this game will be Wily Peralta, who has gone 7-11 with a 5.10 ERA in 22 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts and 2-6 with a 4.93 ERA in nine starts on the road. Peralta is now 3-11 with a 4.86 ERA in his last 18 starts on the road and 9-8 with a 3.31 ERA in 22 starts in Sept/ Oct, while vs the Rockies he is 2-2 with a 5.58 ERA in six games (five starts), including 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in two starts here at Coors.

On offense the Brewers come into this game ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.15 rpg, while also ranking 27th in hitting at .244 and 15th in homers with 190. Milwaukee has hit .238 overall on the road, including .247 vs lefties. The Brewers have averaged 4.09 and have allowed 4.76 rpg on the road this year. On the mound the Brewers have been average as they come in ranked 13th in ERA at 4.10 while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.38. On the road Brewer starters have an ERA of 5.23, while their pen has an ERA of 3.42.

The Rockies Have Not Played Well Down The Stretch

The Colorado Rockies just haven’t played well don the stretch as they have have won just one ofg their last seven games and surprisingly it has been a struggle from their offense over that stretch. Yes those games were on the road, but still they averaged just 2.43 rpg over the seven game stretch. Just not used to seeing that from this team, even on the road. The pitching remains weak of late as they have now posted an ERA of 5.67 over their last 10 games. If this team doesn’t fix their pitching then they will not have a chance of getting back to the playoffs. Getting the nod for Colorado will be Tyler Anderson, who has gone 5-6 with a 3.54 ERA in this his first year in the league. Anderson is 0-1 with a 4.58 ERA in his last three starts and 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 starts here at home. He has faced the Brewers once and took a 7-1 loss in that game, allowing just two ERs on three hits in five innings of work in that game. He also had 10 Ks and just two walks in that game as well.  

The Rockies enter this game ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.25 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .274 and 10th in homers with 202. The Rockies have hit .298 overall at home, including .301 vs righties. Colorado has averaged 6.37 rpg and has allowed 5.97 rpg at home for the year. On the mound, they enter this game ranked 28th in the league in ERA at 4.94 while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.46. At home, Colorado starters have an ERA of 5.37, while their pen has an ERA of 5.71.

Trends

Milwaukee is:

  • 0-6 in their last six during game two of a series
  • 19-39 in their last 58 meetings in Colorado

Colorado is:

  • 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record
  • 4-1 in Anderson’s last five home starts vs. a team with a losing record

The Brewers has not been playing well of late,and they have been a bad road team this year, plus Wily Peralta is just 3-11 in his last 19 starts away from home and he has a 6.35 ERA in two starts in this park in his career. For Colorado, they have been a solid home team this year and Anderson has pitched well here at Coors with a 3.00 ERA in 12 starts. He lost his lone start vs the Brewers, but also struck out 10 batters in just 5.0 innings of work in that game. This one all points to Colorado

Pick: Colorado -173

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.