Blue Jays vs. Indians, 10/14/16 – Prediction

Game Snapshot

Toronto Blue Jays
vs.
Cleveland Indians

Friday, October 14, 2016 at 8:05pm

Written by on

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Toronto Blue Jays (3-0) vs. Cleveland Indians (3-0)

MLB ALCS Game One: Friday, October 14, 2016 at 8:00pm EST

Line: Cleveland -144/Toronto +134

Total: 8

The Cleveland Indians will host the Toronto Blue Jays in game one of the 2016 ALCS Friday evening from Progressive Field. The Blue Jays will give the nod to 33-year old right hander Marco Estrada, and the Indians will send 30-year old right hander Corey Kluber to the hill. Cleveland won the season series four games to three. Toronto powered their way through a sweep of  Texas in the ALDS, and Cleveland swept Boston with timely hitting and terrific pitching.

Estrada Coming Off Game One Gem

Marco Estrada will make his ninth career Postseason appearance and second start of the 2016 Postseason, aiming for another win. Estrada was brilliant in his game one start against the Rangers, conceding only one run on four hits over 8.1 innings. The veteran right hander only faced the Indians once this season and allowed three runs in five innings, and has now conceded five runs (four earned) in just 12 career innings pitched against Cleveland. Carlos Santana is 3 for 5 with a homer against Estrada, while Mike Napoli is 1 for 4 and Jason Kipnis is 0 for 5. Estrada went 9-9 with a 3.48 ERA this season, and posted a dazzling .193 opponent batting average on the road this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays hit plenty of the long ball in the ALDS, belting eight homers in the three game series, with Edwin Encarnacion leading the way with two homers and four RBI’s. Encarnacion has been the Blue Jays most productive player through Toronto’s four Postseason games, smashing three homers with seven RBI’s. The 33-year old DH had success against the Indians this season, collecting seven RBI’s with two homers in seven games. The Blue Jays were very effective with men on base in the ALDS, going 11 for 23 with 17 runs scored with runners in scoring position.

Kluber Dazzles in First Career Postseason Start

Corey Kluber will get the nod as he makes his second start of the Postseason, looking to continue where he left off against the Red Sox. Kluber was tremendous in game two of the ALDS, tossing seven shutout innings to the high-scoring Red Sox and got the win. The veteran right hander has faced the Blue Jays twice this season, and was roughed up in his first start, serving up five runs in 3.1 innings at the Rogers Centre, but was much better in his second start at home, conceding just two runs over 6.2 innings, finishing with the no decision. Overall, Kluber has struggled against the Blue Jays in his career, going 1-3 with a weak 5.34 ERA in 28.2 career innings pitched. Josh Donaldson is 6 for 16 with five RBI’s against Kluber, while Jose Bautista is 3 for 9 with four RBI’s, and Edwin Encarnacion is 3 for 15 with two RBI’s. Kluber posted an 18-9 record with a terrific 3.14 ERA this season.

Jose Ramirez will be one to watch in this series after a very productive ALDS. The 24-year old third baseman notched a hit in 5 of his 10 at bats with two walks, and six runs scored, and finished the series with a dazzling .583 on base percentage. Ramirez had success agains the Blue Jays this season, going 10 for 32 with six RBI’s, and hit a team leading .312 with 11 home runs and 76 RBI’s on the season.

Trends:

The Toronto Blue Jays are:

  • 6-1 in Estrada’s last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record.
  • 4-0 in their last 4 Postseason games.
  • 5-1 in their last 6 games after scoring more than 5 runs in their previous game.

The Cleveland Indians are:

  • No Key Trends

I am siding with the Blue Jays in this contest. Kluber conceded seven runs in ten innings against Toronto this season, and he now owns a weak 5.34 ERA in his career against the Blue Jays, so I would not feel comfortable siding with him. Plus, the Blue Jays trio of Donaldson, Bautista and Encarnacion is hitting a combined .300 with 11 RBI’s in 40 at bats against Kluber, so I am confident they can push across some runs. Also, Estrada has been incredible as of late, conceding only three runs over his last 27.1 innings pitched, and he is very difficult pitcher to hit when he is in a groove like this, and overall this Blue Jays team seems to have the Postseason magic and I am confident they take game one.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +134

NBA on Wednesday, 1-18-2017

Charlotte Hornets vs. Portland Trailblazers, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s an inter-conference clash between a pair of skidding teams looking to get back on track in Buzz City. The Portland Trail Blazers are on the road as they continue a trip with... Read More

Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s an inter-conference clash between a pair of teams in their respective playoff races in the nation’s capital. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road as they battle the Washi... Read More

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors, 01/18/17 - Prediction

DeMar DeRozan and the Toronto Raptors will take on the surging Philadelphia 76ers in a divisional battle Wednesday night from the Wells Fargo Center.... Read More

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s a matchup of Atlantic Division foes up in the Northeast. The New York Knicks continue a road trip as they battle the Boston Celtics Wednesday night. New York lost for the 11... Read More

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Orlando Magic, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

An inter-conference clash of teams trying to pick up a victory takes place down in the Big Easy. The Orlando Magic closes their six game road trip as they take on the New Orleans P... Read More

Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

It’s a matchup of Eastern Conference foes in the Motor City. The Atlanta Hawks are on the road as they battle the Detroit Pistons Wednesday night. Atlanta won for the ninth time ... Read More

Houston Rockets vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 01/18/17 - Prediction

The Houston Rockets will be playing the second game of a back-to-back situation when they host the Milwaukee Bucks at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night.... Read More

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, 01/18/17 - Prediction

Golden State got some revenge on "rival" Cleveland on Monday night, winning with ease, 126-91 at home. Oklahoma City is coming off a 120-98 road loss at the Los Angeles Clippers on... Read More

Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers, 01/18/17 - Preview & Prediction

The Pacers head to Sacramento to take on the Kings on Wednesday night. Both of these teams have aspirations of making the playoffs. The Pacers have won six of ten and are curren... Read More

NCAAB on Wednesday, 1-18-2017

Florida vs. South Carolina, 01/18/17 - Prediction & Preview

The red-hot South Carolina Gamecocks face the even hotter Florida Gators on Wednesday in a matchup of undefeated SEC teams. SC is now 4-0 in the SEC after beating Ole Miss, 67-56 o... Read More

Missouri St vs. Indiana St, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

The Missouri State Bears will battle the Indiana State Sycamores in a conference matchup Wednesday night from the Hulman Center.... Read More

Fordham vs. VCU, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

The VCU Rams will be trying to bounce back from a rare loss when they visit the Fordham Rams at Rose Hill Gym on Wednesday night.... Read More

Temple vs. Cincinnati, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

Temple has now lost five of six games after falling at home to Tulsa, 70-68. The Owls are just 1-5 in the AAC, while Cincinnati is 5-0 and has won eight straight games overall. The... Read More

See all upcoming picks!

Last Updated: October 14, 2016

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.