Angels vs. Mariners, 8-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#928 Seattle Mariners
vs.
#927 Los Angeles Angels

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Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (58-58 SU, 55-61 RL, 47-61-8 O/U) vs. Seattle Mariners (59-57 SU, 54-62 RL, 56-56-4 O/U)

MLB: Saturday, August 12, 2017, Safeco Field, Seattle, Washington, 9:10 pm ET

Lines: Seattle -115, Anaheim +105; Over/Under: 9.5

It’s the continuation of a series between a pair of AL West rivals up in the Pacific Northwest. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim play the third game of a four game series against the Seattle Mariners Saturday night. Anaheim won the opening game of the series, 6-3, Thursday night. The pitching matchup for Friday’s second game of the series saw Ricky Nolasco pitch for the Angels against Seattle’s Marco Gonzales. First pitch in that contest was set for 10:10 pm ET.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Try to Tighten Up AL Wild Card Picture

Anaheim took the opening game of this series for their third straight win. The Angels climbed to within one game of the Mariners and Rays for the second wild card spot entering Friday night. Anaheim let a three-run lead slip away in the eighth inning before rallying with three in the ninth to get the win. Mike Trout (three RBI) and C.J. Cron (two runs, RBI) each had two hits for the Angels in the game. Cron (his eighth) and Andrelton Simmons (his 12th) each homered. Tyler Skaggs recorded a no-decision despite 6.1 scoreless innings: he allowed five hits with three walks and five strikeouts. Bud Norris (2-5) blew the save but got the win despite allowing three runs on three hits with a strikeout in one inning. Cam Bedrosian worked the ninth for his fourth save of the year.

J.C. Ramirez takes the mound for his 26th appearance and his 23rd start of the year for the Angels in this contest. He is 10-10 with a 4.21 ERA, a 1.324 WHIP, 44 walks and 101 strikeouts over 136.2 innings of work on the year. Ramirez took the loss in his last start, which came at home against the Orioles Monday. He threw seven innings, allowing six runs on eight hits with two walks and two strikeouts in a 6-2 Angels defeat. Ramirez is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, 10 walks and nine strikeouts over 21.2 innings in his last three starts. He makes his seventh career appearance and second start against the Mariners in this contest: he is 1-0 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.333 WHIP over nine innings of work. Ramirez is 0-1 with a 7.88 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over eight innings in six career relief appearances at Safeco Field.

Seattle Mariners Look to Maintain Momentum

Seattle’s recent success moved them into the second wild card spot but their loss Thursday was costly. The defeat dropped them in a tie for the spot with Tampa Bay with several other teams within 1.5 games. Seattle picked up two hits each from Jean Segura (run, RBI), Robinson Cano (run) and Guillermo Heredia in the game. James Paxton recorded a no-decision: he threw 6.1 innings, allowing three runs on five hits with one walk and six strikeouts before leaving with a strained left pectoral. Edwin Diaz (2-5) took the loss as he allowed three runs on one hit with three walks while only getting two outs.

Erasmo Ramirez takes the ball for the Mariners to make his 29th appearance and 11th start of the season overall. This is his third start for Seattle after being acquired from Tampa Bay at the trade deadline. Ramirez is 4-4 with one save, a 5.10 ERA, a 1.223 WHIP, 16 walks and 62 strikeouts over 77.2 innings of work. He took the loss in his last start, which was in the second game of a doubleheader against the Royals on the road Sunday. Ramirez allowed five runs on eight hits with no walks and two strikeouts over five innings in a 9-1 Seattle loss. He is 1-1 with a 5.93 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, three walks and 13 strikeouts over 13.2 innings in his last three starts. Ramirez is 4-2 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.038 WHIP over 43.1 innings in 10 career appearances, six starts, against the Angels. He is 3-9 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.383 WHIP over 107 innings in 24 career appearances, 19 starts, at Safeco Field in his career.

Trends:

Anaheim

  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter

Seattle

  • Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League West
  • Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series

This is a matchup of two of the teams in the crowded AL wild card race and positioning can shift in a hurry with games like this. The Angels drew first blood in the opener thanks to a timely hit by Trout after Diaz walked the bases loaded. The Mariners are at home here and if Ramirez can shake off his Safeco Field blues, he has had decent success against the Angels in his career. That should be enough to give Seattle a slim edge in this contest.

Pick: Seattle Mariners -115

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Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.