Rockies vs. Marlins, 8-12-2017 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#907 Colorado Rockies
vs.
#908 Miami Marlins

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Colorado Rockies (65-49; 48-60-6 O/U) vs. Miami Marlins (53-60; 58-48-7 O/U)

MLB: Saturday, August 12, 2017 at 7:10pm EST

Line: Colorado -123/Miami +113

Total: 9

The Miami Marlins will clash with the Colorado Rockies in game two of a three game series Saturday night from Marlins Park. The Rockies will hand the ball to 24-year old right-hander Jeff Hoffman, and 25-year old left-hander Justin Nicolino will take the mound for the Marlins.  

Hoffman Receives Little Run Support in Outstanding Outing

Jeff Hoffman will get the nod for the 16th time of the year, eyeing his third consecutive Quality Start. Hoffman was outstanding in his previous effort, limiting the Phillies to one run in seven innings, but received little run support and finished with the no decision.  The young right-hander has looked much better in his last two starts, however he is still carrying a poor 5.03 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP accompanied with a 6-3 record in 82.1 innings pitched. Hoffman, who will be facing the Mets for the first time of his young career, has only conceded five home runs at Coors Field this season. D.J. LeMahieu continues to accumulate the base hits, recording 10 hits over his last seven games, and is hitting .323 this month. The career .303 hitter is having another strong season at the plate, sporting a .316 average with four home runs and 49 RBI’s. LeMahieu features a .322 average with six RBI’s in 32 career games against the Marlins.

The Rockies potent offense is averaging 5.24 runs per game, ranking them third in the Majors, and are hitting .274 as a team. The Colorado pitching has been subpar, posting a 4.64 team ERA, positioning them 20th in the Majors.

Nicolino Recalled to Make Spot Start

Justin Nicolino has been recalled from the Minors for a spot start in this contest. Nicolino last started for the Marlins on June 24th against the Cubs and allowed three runs (two earned) in only four innings. He has struggled in his brief time with the big club this season, allowing 16 runs (12 earned) to go with an 0-1 record in 20.1 innings of work. He has pitched well in the Minors this season, posting a 3.18 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 85 innings. Nicolino will be making his first career start against the Rockies in this contest. Derek Dietrich continues to swing the bat well, collecting six RBI’s over his last nine games, and owns a .281 average this month. The 28-year old second baseman has taken advantage of his increased playing time as of late, and is currently hitting .240 with seven home runs and 36 RBI’s on the season.

The Marlins are currently averaging 4.65 runs per game, ranking them 15th overall, and feature a .263 team batting average. The Miami pitching is carrying a 4.62 team ERA, placing them 19th in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Colorado Rockies are:

  • over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing record.

The Miami Marlins are:

  • over is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.
  • over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games in the second game of a series.

I am taking the over in this contest. Nicolino has not looked good in his time with the Marlins this season, conceding a total of 16 runs (12 earned) on 29 hits in his 20.1 innings, so I expect the Rockies to put some crooked numbers on the board. Furthermore, Hoffman has been very inconsistent, posting a terrible 6.08 ERA along 17 walks over his last six starts, making the over a strong play in this one.

Pick: Over 9

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.