Padres vs. Dodgers, 8-13-2017 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#963 San Diego Padres
vs.
#964 Los Angeles Dodgers

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San Diego Padres (51-64; 60-49-6 O/U)  vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (81-34; 53-58-4 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, August 13, 2017 at 4:10pm EST

Line: Los Angeles -280/San Diego +247

Total: 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the San Diego Padres as the NL West rivals conclude a three game series Sunday afternoon from Dodger Stadium. The Padres will send 24-year old right-hander Luis Perdomo to the mound, and 29-year old right-hander Kenta Maeda will take the mound for the Dodgers. The Dodgers lead the season series 7-3.

Perdomo Seeks Third Win in Last Four Starts

Luis Perdomo will get the call for the 21st time of the season, hunting for his second straight win. Perdomo pitched well in his latest effort, holding the Reds to just two runs in six innings and recorded the win to improve his record to 6-6. The young right-hander has been inconsistent this season, and as a result owns a 4.81 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in 110.1 innings pitched. The Dodgers have done big damage against Perdomo as he has surrendered 25 runs to go with a 1-3 record in 24 career innings. Yasiel Puig is 5 for 7 with three RBI’s against Perdomo, while Corey Seager is 6 for 15, and Justin Turner is 3 for 7. Wil Myers has come alive at the plate, belting three homers along with seven RBI’s over his last seven games. The career .253 hitter is having a decent season, currently hitting .239 with 23 home runs and 56 RBI’s. Myers is just 5 for 33 with three RBI’s against the Dodgers this season.

The Padres low-scoring Padres are averaging a Major League low 3.83 runs per game, and are hitting a weak .235 as a team. The San Diego pitching has also struggled, posting a 4.73 team ERA, positioning them down at 26th in the Major Leagues.

Maeda Looks to Avoid Third Loss of Season to Padres

Kenta Maeda will get the call for the 21st time of the season, looking to continue his solid work as of late. Maeda just held the tough Diamondbacks lineup to one run in five innings in his previous performance and finished with the no decision. The second-year right-hander has been dominant over his last five starts, and now features a 3.69 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP accompanied with a 10-4 record in 100 innings logged. The Padres have given him trouble this season as he has allowed ten runs in 13.2 innings, and now sits at 2-3 with a 4.29 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego. Wil Myers is 3 for 16 with three RBI’s against Maeda, while Yangervis Solarte is 4 for 12, and Hunter Renfroe is 4 for 8.  Justin Turner is swinging a red hot bat, crushing four home runs along with nine RBI’s over his last eight games. The 32-year old third baseman is having an excellent season, ranking second in the Majors with a .347 average to go with 15 home runs and 50 RBI’s. Turner has notched a hit in 14 of 34 at bats with four RBI’s against the Padres this season.

The Dodgers are currently averaging a solid 5.10 runs per game, good for fifth in the Majors, and feature a .258 team batting average. The Los Angeles pitching continues to dominate, sporting a Major League best 3.12 team ERA.

Trends:

The San Diego Padres are:

  • over is 4-1 in Perdomo’s last 5 starts.
  • over is 5-1 in their last 6 games road games.
  • over is 4-0 in Perdomo’s last 4 starts against the NL West.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are:

  • over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games against a team with a losing record.
  • over is 4-1-1 in Maeda’s last 6 starts against the NL West.

I am taking the over in this matchup. Perdomo has struggled in a big way against the Dodgers, serving up a whopping 25 runs in 24 career innings, and the Dodgers lineup is hitting a combined .422 against him, so I expect the Dodgers to put some crooked numbers on the board. Furthermore, Maeda has struggled against the Padres this season, as he allowed five runs in the latest meeting and has conceded a total of ten runs in 13.2 head-to-head innings this season.

Pick: Over 8.5

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.