Red Sox vs. Yankees, 8-13-2017 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#966 New York Yankees
vs.
#965 Boston Red Sox

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Boston Red Sox (65-50; 51-60-4 O/U) vs. New York Yankees (61-53; 58-53-3 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, August 13, 2017 at 8:05pm EST

Line: Boston -175/New York +157

Total: 8

The New York Yankees will take on the Boston Red Sox in an AL East showdown Sunday night from Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox will give the nod to 28-year old left-hander Chris Sale, and the 24-year old left-hander Jordan Montgomery will toe the rubber for the Yankees. The Yankees own a 7-3 lead in the season series.

Sale Hurls Gem in Third Straight Road Win

Chris Sale will take the mound for the 24th time of the season, aiming for win number 15. Sale was brilliant in his previous start, tossing eight shutout innings over the Rays and recorded the win to improve his record to 14-4. The Red Sox ace is having a stellar season, boasting a 2.57 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP in 161.1 innings pitched. He was outstanding in both of his starts against the Yankees this season, allowing only three runs (two earned) in 15.2 innings, however he does not have a win to show for his efforts. Sale now features a minuscule 1.17 ERA with a 4-2 record in 69.1 career innings against New York. Aaron Judge is 0 for 5 against Sale, while Gary Sanchez is 1 for 8, and Chase Headley is 6 for 20. Eduardo Nunez continues to excel at the plate, posting a sizzling .378 average with seven RBI’s this month. The 30-year old second baseman has been outstanding since coming over in a trade last month, and is currently hitting .323 with eight home runs and 43 RBI’s.

The Red Sox deep lineup is averaging 4.76 runs per game, ranking them tenth in the Major Leagues, and are hitting a solid .263 as a team. The Boston pitching continues to shine, featuring a 3.68 team ERA, good for third in the Majors.

Montgomery Rebounds with Strong Start Against Indians

Jordan Montgomery will make his 22nd start of the season, looking to get back in the win column. Montgomery was solid in his previous start, holding the Indians to one run in five innings and finished with the no decision in a game the Yankees won. The rookie southpaw is having a very promising season, posting a 4.05 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP accompanied with a 7-6 record in 115.2 innings pitched on the season. He battled the Red Sox for the first time of his career last month and allowed three runs in four innings, finishing with the no decision in a game the Yankees lost. Montgomery has now tallied 111 strikeouts on the season. Gary Sanchez has cashed in against the Red Sox pitching this season, smashing three home runs along with ten RBI’s. The 24-year old catcher is having a strong season, currently hitting .266 with 18 home runs and 53 RBI’s. Sanchez has slowed up a bit as of late, driving in only two runs this month.

The power-hitting Yankees are scoring an average of 5.18 runs per game, good for fourth in the Major Leagues, and own a .260 team batting average. The New York pitching is carrying a terrific 3.79 team ERA, placing them sixth in all of baseball.

Trends:

The Boston Red Sox are:

  • 1-7 in their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.
  • 3-10 in their last 13 games against the Yankees overall.
  • 1-4 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter.

The New York Yankees are:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a left-handed starter.
  • 10-3 in their last 13 home games against a team with a winning record.
  • 10-4 in their last 14 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.

I am taking a shot on the Yankees however my stronger play is on the total. The Red Sox have not been scoring many runs against left-handers, and they also own a record below .500 against lefties on the season. Also, Sale has received very little run support against New York, and the Yankees won both games against Sale this season. Furthermore, the Red Sox have had trouble at Yankees Stadium this season, and Montgomery has been solid at home, so I am willing to take a chance with the Yankees.

Pick: New York Yankees +157

Sale continues to dominate on the mound and Montgomery has pitched well at Yankee Stadium this season. The Yankees will have a tough time generating offense against Sale as they have only scored three runs in 15.2 innings against him this year, and the under is 4-1 in Sale’s last 5 home starts. Montgomery owns a solid 3.95 ERA at Yankee Stadium, so he should contain the Red Sox offense, and the under is 4-0 in his last four starts overall.

Pick: Under 8

5

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.