Reds vs. Brewers, 8-13-2017 - Pick and Prediction

Game Snapshot

#958 Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
#957 Cincinnati Reds

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Cincinnati Reds (49-67 SU, 58-58 RL, 62-49-5 O/U) vs Milwaukee Brewers (59-59 SU, 64-54 RL, 54-58-6 O/U)

When: 2:10 PM EDT, Sunday, August 13, 2017

Where: Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Lines: Milwaukee -130/ Cincinnati +120

Total: 10

MLB action on Sunday afternoon and the Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in the final game of their three-game series from Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Pitching Probables: Sal Romano (2-4, 5.35 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Reds and he will be opposed by Matt Garza (5-6, 4.34).

The Offense For The Reds Is On Fire

The Cincinnati Reds have not had much luck on the mound this year and that is a big reason why they are in last place in the National League Central and are sitting 12 games out of first and 15.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard slot in the NL. The offense has not been a problem for them and it has been even better of late as they have averaged 8.60 rpg in their last five games after scoring 11 runs on the Brewers in an 11-10 win on Friday night. Leading their attack in that game was Zack Cozart and Eugenio Suarez, who both had three hits and two RBIs. Cozart hit his 15th homer of the year in the game, while Tucker Barnhart hit his 5th. The Reds did have a 10-2 lead in the game at one point, but the Brewers mad a game of hit by scoring seven in the 6th inning. Getting the win in the game was Homer Bailey and he is now 4-6 with an 8.31 ERA on the year. Taking the hill for the Reds in this one will be Sal Romano and he has gone 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA in seven starts in this his first year in the league, including 0-2 with a 5.17 ERA in his last three starts and 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA on the road, plus he is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA in three days starts. He faced the Brewers one back in April in his first career starts and he lost the gamer 4-2. He allowed two ERs on three hits and four walks in 3.0 innings of work in the game. Romano was 1-4 with a 3.47 ERA in 10 starts at Louisville (AAA) this year.

Cincinnati has been a below average offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 14th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.68 rpg, while also ranking 15th in hitting at .255 and 8th in homers with 163. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in ERA at 5.24, while also ranking 28th in WHIP at 1.45.

The Brewers Are In Freefall Mode

The Milwaukee Brewer had a 5.5 game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central at the All-Star break, but they have since gone just 12-18, including 0-6 in their last six and are now three games out of first in the division. It’s not that bad, but they have to turn things around quickly or it will be very bad for them. The Brewers have been hit hard of late as they have allowed 38 runs in their last five games, after giving up a total of three runs in their previous four games. That is very inconsistent pitching ands it has not helped that their offense has not been good at all since the break as they have averaged just 3,15 rpg in their last 26 games. This team has many issues to deal with right now as they can hit or pitch. Getting the nod for the Brewers in this one will be Matt Garza and he has gone 5-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 7.07 ERA in his last three starts and 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 10 starts here at home. Garza has gone 17-20 with a 4.18 ERA in 52 career starts in August and 38-39 with a 3.61 ERA in 106 games (104 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 18-17 with a 3.63 ERA in 50 games (49 starts) here at Miller Park in his career, while against the Reds he has gone 4-5 with a 4.71 ERA in 15 starts.

The Brewers have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.59 rpg, while also ranking 19th in hitting at .250 and 7th in homers with 167. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 11th in the league in ERA at 4.18, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38.

Trends

Cincinnati is:

  • 4-1 in their last five road games vs. a right-handed starter

Milwaukee is:

  • 5-17 in their last 22 games on grass
  • 0-9 in their last nine games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Milwaukee Brewers have really been struggling of late  and as a result, they have fallen to 4th place in the National League Central after spending most of the year in first place, so that really makes this an important game for them. Still, they are facing a Reds team that has gone 4-1 in their last five games and have averaged a whopping 8.60 rpg over that stretch. Their offense should get going against a Brewers team that has allowed 7.60 rpg over their last five games. Matt Garza has pitched well at home, but he is 4-5 with a 4.71 ERA in 15 career starts against the Reds and he is 1-2 with a 7..07 ERA in his last three starts overall. Sal Romano has gone 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA on the road and he is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA in three day starts. I look for the frustrations of the Brewers to continue as the Reds steal another one from them.

Pick: Cincinnati +120

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.