Twins vs. Tigers, 8-13-2017 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#967 Minnesota Twins
vs.
#968 Detroit Tigers

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Minnesota Twins (58-57 SU, 57-58 RL, 50-56-9 O/U) vs. Detroit Tigers (53-63 SU, 57-59 RL, 62-48-6 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, August 13, 2017 at 1:10 p.m. EST

The Line: Minnesota Twins -125/Detroit Tigers +105. Total: 10.

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins will wrap up a three-game series when they meet again at Comerica Park in Detroit on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota had won six in a row before falling 12-11 on Saturday. Despite that victory, the Tigers are just 2-6 in their last eight contests.

Wild one on Saturday

The Twins and Tigers combined for 23 runs and 32 hits on Saturday in a back-and-forth affair that went down to the final at-bat. Minnesota held an 11-6 lead after six innings but Detroit chipped away, drawing within one run on Jose Iglesias’ two-run homer in the eighth and walking off with the win on Justin Upton’s two-run blast in the ninth. The Twins, who are battling for the second American League wild card, traded away closer Brandon Kintzler at the deadline and watched the bullpen come undone while a six-game winning streak came to end with the loss.

Right-hander Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.27 ERA) is taking the mound for Minnesota on Sunday. Santana kept his team in the game against Milwaukee on Monday but did not factor in the decision while allowing four runs–two earned–and six hits in six innings. The Dominican Republic native tossed a complete game at San Diego on Aug. 2 but is struggling a bit with the home run ball, yielding 25 in 151.1 total innings. Santana surrendered a pair of blasts against Detroit on July 21 and lasted just 3.1 innings while being charged with five runs in a loss.

Cabrera leaves early

The Tigers are 2-6 in their last eight games but have yet to drop a series to Minnesota this season. Second baseman Ian Kinsler (0-for-4 on Saturday) was the only starter in the game not to record at least one hit. First baseman Miguel Cabrera (lower back stiffness) left the game in the sixth inning and is day-to-day.

Matthew Boyd (5-6, 5.64 ERA) will oppose Santana on Sunday. The left-hander failed to make it through five innings in either of his last two turns and was ripped for six runs–five earned–and nine hits in four innings to suffer a loss at Pittsburgh on Tuesday. Boyd enjoyed a three-start winning streak coming out of the All-Star break before struggling in the last two outings. The 26-year-old earned a win at Minnesota on July 23 while allowing three runs on four hits in six innings and striking out eight.

 

MLB Trends

The Minnesota Twins are:

  • 6-1 in their last seven overall
  • 4-1 in their last five road games
  • 7-0 in their last seven games against starters with WHIPs over 1.30

The Detroit Tigers are:

  • 2-6 in their last eight overall
  • 1-5 in their last six games against right-handed starters
  • 1-4 in their last five games against the American League Central

Minnesota first basemanJoe Mauer is 8-for-15 with eight RBIs in the last three games. The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven overall, 4-1 in their last five on the road, 7-0 in their last seven against starters with WHIPs over 1.30, and 8-3 in Santana’s last 11 road starts. Detroit is 2-6 in its last eight overall, 1-5 in its last six against right-handed starters, and 1-4 in its last five against the American League Central. Look for those trends to continue.

Pick: Minnesota Twins -125

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.