Indians vs. Angels, 9-20-2017 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#976 Los Angeles Angels
vs.
#975 Cleveland Indians

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Cleveland Indians (93-57 SU, 56-84-10 O/U) v. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (76-73 SU, 62-77-10 O/U) at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, California

Wednesday, September 20th, 2017 at 10:00 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers: Josh Tomlin (R) 9-9, 5.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP (CLE) v. Ricky Nolasco (R) 6-14, 5.11 ERA, 1.44 WHIP (LAA)

Money Line: Cleveland Indians -120 | Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim +110

Over/Under: 8.5

The Angels of Anaheim are hosting the Cleveland Indians in this American League series. The Indians have locked up a spot in the postseason. They’ve already clinched the AL Central crown. The Angels, on the other hand, are fighting for one of the Wild Card spots. They’re just 1.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Wild Card race. Will the Halos inch closer to a playoff berth with a win over the Tribe on Wednesday night?

Indians beat the Royals

The Cleveland Indians topped the Kansas City Royals in a 3-2 victory on Monday night, which helped them clinch the AL Central title. The Tribe has relied on Edwin Encarnacion this season. Encarnacion leads the Indians with 36 home runs and 94 RBIs. He’s also hitting .252 this year. The Tribe will rely on Encarnacion once again as they take on the Angels in this one.

Josh Tomlin will get the nod for the Indians on Wednesday. Tomlin has been pretty average this season. He had a pretty solid outing in his last start, a no-decision against the Kansas City Royals. The right-hander gave up 6 hits, a walk, and 2 runs in 5 2/3 innings of action. Tomlin has won five consecutive decisions. He’ll go for his sixth consecutive win in this matchup with the Angels.

Halos dropped by the Rangers

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim fell short in a 4-2 loss to the Texas Rangers on Monday night. The Halos struggled at the plate in the loss to the Rangers. They only had 4 hits against the Rangers pitching staff. The Angels haven’t had a great offensive season. They’re hitting .244 in 2017, which is the fourth-worst batting average in either league.

The Angels are sending Ricky Nolasco to the hill in this matchup with the red-hot Indians. Nolasco has had an awful year. Although, he looked pretty good in his last start. Nolasco pitched six innings against the Astros. The right-hander was a victim of poor run support. He only gave up 4 hits and 2 runs in a loss. Nolasco hasn’t won a game in over a month. He’ll try to snap his losing streak with a win over the Tribe on Wednesday.

Trends

The Cleveland Indians are:

  • 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
  • 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • 6-1 in Tomlin’s last 7 starts.
  • 4-1 in Tomlin’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are:

  • 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
  • 3-9 in Nolasco’s last 12 home starts.
  • 3-12 in Nolasco’s last 15 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • 0-5 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.

The Indians have been unbeatable as of late. Josh Tomlin has been a big part of their success. Tomlin hasn’t lost a game in nearly two months. He has a 2.76 ERA in the month of September. Meanwhile, Ricky Nolasco has a 5.28 ERA this month. The Indians have dominated the Angels over the past couple of years. The Tribe is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with the Halos. I like the Indians to beat the Angels on Wednesday night in Anaheim.

Pick: Cleveland Indians -120

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.