Astros vs. Angels, 9/30/16 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#925 Houston Astros
vs.
#926 Los Angeles Angels

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports
Houston Astros (83-76 SU, 71-88 RL, 72-79-8 OU) vs Los Angeles Angels (72-87 SU, 79-80 RL, 68-81-10 OU)

When: 10:05 PM ET, Friday, September 30, 2016

Where: Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California

Lines: N/A

Total: N/A

The Los Angeles Angels are a hot ball club and they hope to keep it going tonight when they host the Houston Astros, who may very well be eliminated from playoff contention by the time this game is played. This is game one of a three game set that is being played at Angel Stadium in Anaheim. Pitching Probables: Brad Peacock vs Jhoulys Chacin.

Houston Astros Ran Out Of Gas

The Houston Astros just couldn’t follow up last years postseason with another one as a slow start to their season really did them in. The did make a strong run for awhile but just ran out of gas in the end. As of this writing the Astros have gone just 2-5 in their last seven games and it was a four game home series vs the Angels that started them on this slide. As they lost three of the four games played. With a strong nucleus that includes George Springer, Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve, the Astros will be back strong next year. Taking the hill for Houston will be Brad Peacock, who has gone 0-0 with a 2.67 ERA in nine games, including 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four games as a starter. Peacock is 11-15 with a 4.28 ERA in 45 career starts and he is 7-8 with a 4.28 ERA in 30 games (22 starts) on the road in his career, while vs the Angels he is 3-0 with a 4.00 in six games (four starts), including 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA in two games (one start) here at Angel Stadium.

On offense the Astros come into this game ranked 14th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.52 rpg, while also ranking 24th in hitting at .247 and 11th in homers with 198. The Astros have hit .252 overall on the road, including .251 vs righties. Houston averages 4.94 and allows 4.91 rpg on the road. On the mound Houston has been solid as they come in ranked 11th in the league in ERA at 4.05 and 11th in WHIP at 1.29. On the road Houston starters come in with an ERA of 5.27, while their pen has an ERA of 4.01.

The Angels Are Finishing Strong

The Los Angeles Angels have not had a good season this year, but they are finishing strong as they have won seven of their last eight games as of this writing. They really have been the team that knocked the Astros out of playoff contention after taking three of four games from them last week. The offense has been hot of late as they have averaged 6.5 rpg in their last six games and last week in the series vs the Astros, they scored 10 runs in back-to-back games. With Albert Pujols and Mike Trout on this team it was hard to see them struggling on offense for much of the year like they had been. Toeing the rubber for the Angels will be Daniel Wright, who has gone 0-5 with a 6.95 ERA in eight games (six starts) overall this year, including 0-3 with a 6.53 ERA in four starts as a member of the Angels. This is his first year in the league and he has faced the Halos once. He lost that game 4-1 and allowed three ERs on seven hits in six innings of work in that game.  

The Angels come in ranked 18th in the league in scoring, putting up  4.42 rpg, while also ranking 9th in hitting at .261 and 25th in homers with 154. The Halos have hit .253 overall at home, including .260 vs righties. The Angels have averaged 4.13 rpg and have allowed 4.44 rpg at home this year. On the mound the Angels have been poor as they come in ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.33, while also ranking 26th in WHIP at 1.40. At home Angel starters have an ERA of 4.43, while their pen has an ERA of 3.47.

Trends

Houston is:

  • The Over is 5-1 in their last six games following an off day
  • The Over is 4-0 in Peacock’s last four starts vs. Angels

Los Angeles is:

  • The Over is 4-1 in their last five games following a win

Both teams have poor starters on the mound and that should result in a high scoring game in this one. The Halos have really had an offensive explosion of late as they have averaged 6.5 rpg in their last six games and last week they put up 21 runs in their three games vs the Astros. The Houston offense hasn’t been great of late, but they have averaged 4.83 rpg in their last six games. Both teams should be good for at least five runs each in this one.

Prediction: Over

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.