Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings, 01/10/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#517 Detroit Pistons
vs.
#518 Sacramento Kings

Tuesday, January 1 2017, at 10:35pm EST

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Pistons (18-21 SU, 18-21 ATS, 18-21 O/U) vs. Sacramento Kings (15-22 SU, 19-17-1 ATS, 16-21 O/U)

NBA: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 at 10:30 p.m. EST

The Line: Detroit Pistons -1. Total: 208.

The Sacramento Kings will be hoping to halt a three-game losing streak when they host the Detroit Pistons at the Golden 1 Center on Tuesday night. Sacramento has also dropped five of its last six contests after most recently falling to Golden State on Sunday. The Pistons are coming off consecutive victories over Charlotte and Portland.

Lineup update

Detroit forward Jon Leuer left Sunday’s 125-124 overtime win at Portland with a right knee injury. That threw the Pistons’ playing rotation into a bit of chaos, forcing Tobias Harris and Andre Drummond to log significant minutes. Harris played 38 minutes against Portland, while Drummond played a game-high 52. For those counting, that means Drummond sat out for just one minute combined in regulation and OT. Aron Baynes could see more playing time if Leuer ends up being sidelined. Baynes took the court for six minutes against the Trail Blazers.

In other Detroit lineup news, swing-man Reggie Bullock (knee) has practiced for the past week and could return as soon as Tuesday. Bullock would give the Pistons’ bench a much-needed perimeter threat. The team ranks 26th in the NBA in bench scoring (29.6 ppg) despite that fact that Harris has gotten more involved of late.

Defensive problems

Sacramento saw its losing streak hit three on Sunday with a 117-106 setback against Golden State. The Warriors did not lead until midway through the third quarter, as they started the second half on a 19-7 run. Golden State outscored the Kings 39-22 in the third frame of play. Stephen Curry drained five three-pointers and finished with 30 points. Rudy Gay scored 23 points on 9-for-23 shooting to lead Sacramento, while DeMarcus Cousins contributed 17 rebounds, 10 rebounds, five assists, two steals, and two blocked shots.

“We always have that one quarter or one little stretch where we have bad basketball,” Cousins said of the Warriors’ third-quarter surge. “It comes back to bite us in the end.”

The Kings have actually been consistently woeful on defense of late. Sunday’s contest marked their eighth in succession giving up at least 100 points.

NBA Trends:

The Detroit Pistons are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference
  • 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Pacific Division
  • 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with losing home records

The Sacramento Kings are:

  • 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall
  • 1-4 ATS in their last five home games
  • 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Eastern Conference

The in-form Pistons may be without Leuer, but Bullock may return. They are going up against a Sacramento squad that has been generous on defense in recent times. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five against the Western Conference, 5-2-2 ATS in its last nine against the Pacific Division, and 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road against opponents with losing home records. The Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall, 1-4 ATS in their last five at home, 0-4 ATS in their last four against the Eastern Conference, 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams, and 1-7 ATS in their last eight at home against the Pistons. Look for those trends to continue.

Pick: Detroit Pistons

For Sacramento, Gay has looked good in two games back since missing four with a hip flexor. The question is if the Kings can stop anyone on the other end of the floor. The over is 6-0 in the Pistons’ last six overall, 4-1 in their last five road games, 4-1 in their last five against the Pacific Division, and 4-0 in their last four following a win. It is also 4-1 in the Kings’ last five against the Central Division. Expect this one to go over the total.

Pick: Over 208

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.