Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons, 01/12/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#511 Detroit Pistons
vs.
#512 Golden State Warriors

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Detroit Pistons (18-22 SU, 18-22 ATS, 18-22 O/U) at Golden State Warriors (33-6 SU, 15-23-1 ATS, 18-21 O/U)

When and Where: Thursday, Jan. 12., Oracle Arena, Oakland, Calif., 10:30pmET

Line: Golden State -13

Total: 216

Detroit hopes to get revenge on Golden State, who beat the Pistons on Dec. 23, 119-113. The Pistons are coming off a 100-94 loss at Sacramento on Tuesday. That snapped a two-game winning streak. The Warriors have won two straight after beating Miami, 107-95 on Tuesday at home.

Drummond struggles against Cousins

Andre Drummond isn’t the talent that DeMarcus Cousins is. He doesn’t have three-point range like Cousins and is a poor foul shooter. But he can physically match up with Cousins as both are around 6-11, 275. On Tuesday against the Kings, Drummond scored nine points, blocked seven shots and grabbed 12 rebounds. But he made just 1-of-6 from the foul line and Cousins scored 24 points on 8-of-14 shooting and grabbed 13 rebounds with six assists. The Kings beat the Pistons 110-94 despite the efforts of guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who had 21 points on 6-of-12 shooting. The Pistons shot 43.9 percent from the floor but allowed Sacramento to make 13-of-24 from beyond the arc.

Drummond averages 14.7 points per game and 13.4 rebounds, while shooting just 53.7 percent from the floor (44.8% FT). Guard Reggie Jackson leads the team with 16.9 points per game on 37.2 percent three-point shooting, while Tobias Harris adds 16.6 points per game. Detroit ranks just 24th in the NBA in scoring with 100.1 points per game and shoots 45.1 percent from the floor. The Pistons allow 100.3 points per game (4th) and 45.4 percent from the field (18th).

Warriors beat Heat without Thompson

All-Star guard Klay Thompson took the night off and the Warriors were still able to beat Miami by 12. But it wasn’t as easy as the score indicated. Golden State had an 85-52 lead with 6:35 left as Miami went on a 14-4 record. But Kevin Durant stepped up with 28 points and eight boards in leading the Warriors to another home win. Golden State is now 17-3 at home this season. The Warriors shot 45.3 percent from the field and 40.7 percent from 3-point range (11 of 27). Steph Curry scored 24 points with nine assist and eight rebounds, including going 5 of 11 from 3-point shooting.

Durant leads the Warriors in scoring with 26 points per game on 53.4 percent field goal shooting (38.7% 3pt). Curry adds 24.7 points and 5.9 assists on 40 percent 3-point shooting, while Thompson chips in with 21.3 points on 47 percent shooting (38% 3pt). Golden State leads the NBA in scoring (117.3ppg), field goal percentage (49.8%) and in three-point shooting defense (32.6%).

NBA Trends:

Detroit is:

n/a

Golden State is:

  • 0-5 ATS last 5 home games.
  • 0-6 ATS last 6 playing on 1 days rest.
  • 7-18-1 ATS last 26 following an ATS loss.

The Golden State Warriors have now lost six straight against the spread. But they’ve won five of those games straight up. The point is, they are overvalued and their bench isn’t quite as strong as last season. Detroit has the athletes to battle them and go up and down the floor.

Pick: Detroit +13

In the last six games between these two squads, five have gone under the total. But the first game between these teams went over with ease. That doesn’t mean this will go under as Detroit had gone over in six straight games before the loss to the Kings. Golden State will play some defense but it’s still about tempo and there’s no way Detroit can slow it down enough to make it a low-scoring game.

Over 216

3

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Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!