Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks, 03/21/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#660 Dallas Mavericks
vs.
#659 Golden State Warriors

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Golden State Warriors (55-14 SU, 30-37-2 ATS, 27-42 O/U) vs. Dallas Mavericks (30-39 SU, 38-31 ATS, 28-39-2 O/U)

NBA: Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 8:30 PM EST

The Line: Golden State Warriors -4. Total: 209.5.

The Golden State Warriors will be playing the second game of a back-to-back situation when they visit the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Tuesday night. Golden State had won three in a row heading into a road date with Oklahoma City on Monday. The Mavericks have won two of their last three contests after prevailing at Brooklyn this past Sunday.

Splashing again

The Warriors appear to be back on track following a tough week of three straight losses without the injured Kevin Durant. Heading into Monday they had won three a row, pushing their record to 55-14 while officially clinching the Pacific Division title earlier this week.

Splash brothers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson were in a bit of a shooting slump following Durant’s injury, but they have recently regained their flow in the past couple of contests. Curry stole the show last night against Milwaukee with 28 points on 9-for-13 shooting, including six daggers from beyond the arc. Thompson recently torched the 76ers Tuesday with 28 points on five made threes. He scored 21 of his 28 points in the first quarter alone.

 

No give up in Dirk

The Mavericks are nine games under .500, three games out of a playoff spot in the Western Conference, and showing no signs of making any kind of late-season push. But despite his team’s woes, veteran big man Dirk Nowitzki is still plugging along. He has slowly but surely turned his 19th NBA season into a decent one. Nowitzki scored 23 points and grabbed nine rebounds this past Sunday afternoon as the Mavericks capped a 2-2 road trip with a 111-104 victory over the Nets. It continued a nice run of late for the face of the franchise. He has averaged 17.7 points and 7.2 rebounds over the last nine games. Nowitzki not only passed 30,000 career points mark earlier this season, but he has also played center on a regular basis as his normal power forward spot.

“He makes coming to work fun,” guard J.J. Barea said of Nowitzki. “He’s the hardest-working guy on the team. And a humble guy, down to earth. I think he loves being around the guys and being in the locker room. So he works hard to be able to stay around and play at 39, something I won’t be able to do.”

 

NBA Trends:

The Golden State Warriors are:

  • 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 games against Dallas
  • 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against Dallas
  • 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against New Orleans

The Dallas Mavericks are

  • 1-4 ATS in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days
  • 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with road winning percentages over .600
  • 11-4-1 Under in their last 16 overall

The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home following a road trip of at least seven days and 1-8 ATS in their last nine at home against opponents with road winning percentages over .600. Golden State is 40-19-1 ATS in the last 60 meetings between the two teams and 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Dallas. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: Golden State Warriors -4

The under is 37-17 in the Warriors’ last 54 overall, 35-16 in their last 51 on the road, and 5-2 in their last seven against the Southwest Division. It is also 11-4-1 in the Mavericks’ last 16 overall, 6-2-1 in their last nine at home, and 7-2 in their last nine against the Pacific Division. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Pick: Under 209.5

4

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.