George Mason vs. St. Josephs, 01/10/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#525 George Mason University Patriots
vs.
#526 St. Josephs Hawks

Tuesday, January 1 2017, at 7:00pm EST

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

George Mason Patriots (11-5 SU, 7-5-0 ATS, 7-5-0 OU) vs St Joseph’s Hawks (8-6 SU, 5-8-0 ATS, 6-7-0 OU)

When: 7:00 PM ET, Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Where: Michael J. Hagan Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Lines: St Joe’s -4

Total: 143

Tonight in the Atlantic 10 Conference, the George Mason Patriots will grapple with the St Joseph’s Hawks at Michael J. Hagan Arena in Philadelphia, Pa. The Patriots have gone just 1-2 in league play so far and they are off an82-72 road loss to St Bonaventure, while the Hawks are at 2-1 in the A-10 and off a 70-55 win over Fordham on the road.

Patriots Fall To Bonnies On The Road

The George Mason Patriots have had a nice start to their year overall at 11-5, but they are now just 1-2 in the Atlantic 10 after falling 82-72 to St Bonaventure on the road. The defense has been a strength for this team this year, but they have now allowed 81 and 82 points in their last two games. Their defense wasn’t all that bad against the Bonnies as they allowed 44.8% shooting overall, and 26.3% from long range. The killer in the game was the fact that they committed seven more turnovers than the Bonnies did. The Patriots shot just 42.8% from the field overall, including just 33.3% from long range. They have been a decent offensive team this year. Leading their attack vs the Bonnies was Marquise Moore, who had 19 points, while Jaire Grayer was 2nd with 16, while 3rd was Jalen Jenkins with 12. The Patriots have just four players that average more than 6.4 ppg, but all four average in double-figures. GMU has been led by Moore, who has averaged 18.0 ppg, while 2nd is Otis Livingston II at 14.6 ppg.

George Mason comes in ranked 141st in the nation in scoring, putting up just 75.6 ppg, while also ranking 153rd in shooting overall (44.9%), 258th in 3-point shooting (33.1%) and 97th in free throw shooting (72.2%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been decent as they come in ranked 138th in points allowed, giving up just 70.0 ppg, while also ranking 118th in defensive FG% (41.6%) and 53rd in 3-point defense (31.2%).

Hawks Take Down Rams On The Road

The St Joes Hawks are off to a very average start overall, but they are now 2-1 in the A-10 after taking out the Fordham Rams by a score of 70-55 on the road. They have been playing solid overall as they have now won five of the last seven games. The Hawks have not been a great offensive team this year, but they did hit 52.8% of their shots overall in the win over the Rams and they outrebounded them 40-27, but they also missed eight free throws and committed five more turnovers. Their defense did play well as they allowed just 33.3% shooting overall and just 25.9% from long range. Leading their attack was James Demery, who put up 25 points in the win, while Lamarr Kimble was 2nd with 12 points, while Markell Lodge and Brendan Casper had 10 points each. The Hawks have just three active players that average more than 5.7 ppg, but all three average in double figures. They have been led by James Demery at 15.5 ppg, while their true leading scorer, Shavar Newkirk (20.2 ppg) is out for the year.     

The Hawks check in at 240th in the nation in scoring, putting up just 71.5 ppg, while also ranking 218th in shooting overall (43.5%), 264th in 3-point shooting (32.8%) and 314th in free throw shooting (64.0%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been average at best as they come in ranked 180th in points allowed, giving up 71.9 ppg, while also ranking 153rd in defensive FG% (42.7%) and 313th in 3-point defense (38.5%).

Trends

George Mason is:

  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. the Atlantic 10

St Joe’s is:

  • 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5
  • 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

The Hawks have been playing better of late and the Patriots have struggled, which is what I will expect here as well. The Hawks are at home and just come off a solid road win over the Rams. They are 2-1 in the A-10, while the Patriots are just 1-2 in league play. This game should be close throughout, but I feel that the Hawks will come up with a bit more defense and walk away with a nice eight point plus win.

Pick: St Joes -4

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.