Ohio U vs. Buffalo, 01/10/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#530 State University of New York at Buffalo Bulls
vs.
#529 Ohio University Bobcats

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Ohio Bobcats (10-3 SU, 4-5 ATS, 3-6 O/U) vs. Buffalo Bulls (7-8 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U)

NCAAB: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 at 7:00 p.m. EST

The Line: Ohio Bobcats -2. Total: 149.5

The Ohio Bobcats will be trying to extend their winning streak to four games when they visit the Buffalo Bulls at Alumni Arena on Tuesday night. Ohio is coming off consecutive victories over Urbana, Western Michigan, and Kent State. The Bulls have won two of their last three contests after most recently defeating Eastern Michigan this past Saturday.

Too much flash for the Flashes

Senior forward Kenny Kaminski led four Bobcats in double-figures during an 85-67 rout of Kent State last Friday. Ohio shot 53.4 percent (31-of-58) from the field while holding the Golden Flashes to just a 36.6 percent (26-of-71) performance–including a 29.2 percent (7-of-24) from beyond the arc. The Bobcats turned 20 turnovers, 15 of which came on steals, by the Golden Flashes into 23 points. Ohio’s 15 steals marked the most by the program since March 1, 2014 (also at the expense of Kent State). OU has caused at least 20 turnovers in two of its last three outings.

Kaminski’s 23 points marked not only a game high but also his second 20-point effort of the season. He shot 7-of-13 from the field, including 5-of-9 from three-point range. Kaminski has knocked down at least five treys in a game on four occasions this season.

Quite a streak for Quate

Buffalo freshman Quate McKinzie led the Bulls with 12 points on 4-for-5 shooting in a loss to Toledo last Tuesday. After that contest, McKinzie had converted on 24 of his 28 total shots during the season. All four of his misses had come from beyond the arc. That’s right; the 6-foot-8 forward had not missed a single attempt from inside the three-point line. But his 16-for-16 streak on two-pointers ended against Eastern Michigan this past weekend. McKinzie went 2-for-7 from the floor (1-for-2 on threes and 1-for-5 on twos) en route to a meager five points to go along with five rebounds.

Senior forward Blake Hamilton, a preseason All-MAC East Division nominee, leads the team with 17.5 points per game. He averaged 13.7 points and 7.1 rebounds during the 2015-16 campaign. On the Bulls’ recent road trip, Hamilton scored more than 20 points in four of six contests. He posted his first double-double of the season against Canisius, contributing 19 points and a season-high 11 rebounds.

NCAAB Trends:

The Ohio Bobcats are:

  • 14-6 Over in their last 20 road games
  • 3-1-1 Over in their last five games against teams with losing records
  • 17-8 Over in their last 25 games against the Mid-American Conference

The Buffalo Bulls are:

  • 5-2 Over in their last seven overall
  • 6-2 Over in their last eight home games
  • 7-1-1 Over in their last nine games against teams with winning records

Ohio is off to its best start through 13 games since the 2013-14 campaign. That is thanks to a prolific offense and a turnover-hungry defense that facilitates transition buckets. Junior guard Jaaron Simmons had his second double-double of the seasons against Kent State with 10 points and a game-high 10 assists. He also contributed a career-high four steals. The over is 14-6 in the Bobcats’ last 20 on the road, 3-1-1 in their last five against losing opponents, and 17-8 in their last 25 against the Mid-American Conference. It is also 5-2 in the Bulls’ last seven overall, 6-2 in their last eight at home, and 7-1-1 in their last nine against winning opponents. Additionally, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams and 6-0-1 in Ohio’s last seven trips to Buffalo. Look for this one to go over the total.

Pick: Over

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.