Western Michigan vs. Toledo, 01/10/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#531 University of Toledo Rockets
vs.
#532 Western Michigan University Broncos

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Toledo Rockets (9-6; 7-6 ATS; 7-6 O/U) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (4-10; 6-5 ATS; 6-5 O/U)

NCAAB: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: Toledo -3

Total: 154.5

The Toledo Rockets will aim for their sixth consecutive victory when they take on the Western Michigan Broncos Tuesday night from. Toledo defeated Miami Ohio 91-76 on Saturday, and Western Michigan is coming off a 66-59 road loss to Akron this past weekend. These team’s split last year’s season series one game each. 

Toledo Defeats Miami (OH) in Sixth Consecutive Victory

The Toledo Rockets were firing on all cylinders in their 91-76 home win over Miami Ohio on Saturday, extending their wining streak to five games. The Rockets made 30 of their 53 attempts from the field for a dazzling 56.6% efficiency, and out-rebounded Miami Ohio by a wide 34-24 margin. Jonathan Williams was outstanding, sinking 25 points on 7 for 11 shooting. The senior guard has been red hot, scoring 20 or more points in eight straight games, and sits second in the MAC in scoring, averaging 20.6 points per game. Steve Taylor Jr. picked up yet another double-double in the win, scoring 12 points with 12 rebounds. The 6-foot-9 senior guard has already recorded 11 double-doubles this season, and is now averaging a whopping 11.8 rebounds per game which leads the conference, and is scoring 15.1 points per game. Toledo is now 2-0 in MAC play and have looked great on both ends of the court in their winning streak. They are now ranked 114th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Toledo features a powerful offense, now averaging 82.9 points per game, good for 30th in the Nation, and are shooting and impressive 48.4% as a team. The Rockets are conceding an average of 77 points per game, ranking them 281st overall.

Broncos Can’t Hold Lead in Loss to Akron

The Western Michigan Broncos let a second half lead evaporate in their 66-59 road loss to Akron on Friday night. Western Michigan held a six point lead with 12 minutes remaining but Arkon went on an 11-0 run to take the lead for good. The Broncos shot 42% from the field and went a weak 5 for 13 from the free throw line. Thomas Wilder was able to score 17 points but only converted on 6 of 18 attempts from the field. The junior guard has been very consistent this season, reaching double-digits in points in all but one game this season, and is now averaging a team-leading 16.3 points per game. Tucker Haymond chipped in with 13 points and seven assists in the loss. Haymond has not been productive as last season, scoring 12.9 points per game after averaging 15.9 last season. Western Michigan has had a tough time on both ends of the court, especially on defense, and they could be in for another tough night against the high-scoring Rockets. They are placed at 224th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Western Michigan is scoring an average of 72.8 points per game, placing them down at 215th overall, and own a 43.1 field goal percentage. The Broncos play very weak defense, surrendering an average of 78.1 points per game, positioning them down at 300th overall.

Trends:

The Toledo Rockets are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record.

The Western Michigan Broncos are:

  • 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after an ATS win.
  • 9-25 ATS in their last 34 home games.

I have to go with Toledo in this matchup. Toledo’s offense is red hot, averaging 88.6 points over their last six games and I think Western Michigan is in deep trouble in this one. Western Michigan is allowing the opposition to shoot a remarkable 49% from the field which ranks them at 340th in the Country, so Toledo should put up big points in this contest. The Broncos have also struggled offensively, and Toledo also has the big rebounding advantage so they should take this one easily. 

Pick: Toledo -3

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.