Davidson vs. Fordham, 01/11/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#733 Fordham University Rams
vs.
#734 Davidson University Wildcats

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Fordham Rams (6-10 SU, 2-8-1 ATS, 4-7 O/U) vs. Davidson Wildcats (8-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U)

NCAAB: Wednesday, January 11, 2017 at 7:00 p.m. EST

The Line: Davidson Wildcats -14. Total: 141.5

The Fordham Rams have lost nine of their last 10 games heading into a road date with the Davidson Wildcats at Belk Arena on Wednesday night. Fordham has also dropped three in a row at the hands of Duquesne, Richmond, and St. Joseph’s. The Wildcats halted a two-game skid by defeating Saint Louis this past Sunday.

Cold shooting

Fordham dropped to 1-9 in its last 10 games and 0-3 in its last three with a 70-55 loss to St. Joseph’s last Saturday. The Rams shot just 33. 3 percent from the floor and they allowed the Hawks to make 52.8 percent of their shots. St. Joseph’s got off to quick start by shooting 60.7 percent in the first half.

Antwoine Anderson and Will Tavares led Fordham with 12 points apiece, while Joseph Chartouny and Will Hawkins added 11 each. Hawkins, who tied his career-high with three steals, has scored in double-figures in 13 of the 16 games this season. The Rams, however, are not getting much production from other sources. During one stretch of this current 1-9 slump, they went four straight games without scoring more than 62 points.

Two-man show

Davidson guard Jack Gibbs and forward Peyton Aldridge were Preseason All-Atlantic 10 Conference selections. They have not disappointed. Gibbs and Aldridge rank second and third in the Atlantic 10, respectively, averaging 21.8 and 21.0 points per game. Currently 10th on the Wildcats’ all-time scoring list, Gibbs is five assists away from becoming just the second player in school history with 1,500 points and 400 assists. In conference competition, Aldridge is averaging 21.7 points and 8.3 rebounds per contest while shooting better than 50 percent from the floor, 40 percent from three-point range, and 90 percent from the free-throw line.

Jon Axel Gudmundsson is contributing 9.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, 6.2 assists, and 2.2 steals over the last five contests to give Gibbs and Aldridge plenty of support. Davidson ranks among national leaders in free-throw shooting (15th at 76.9 percent) and three-pointers made (25th at 9.6 per game).

NCAAB Trends:

The Fordham Rams are:

  • 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight overall
  • 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games
  • 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Atlantic 10

The Davidson Wildcats are:

  • 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with road winning percentages under .400
  • 3-0-1 Over in their last four overall
  • 4-1 Over in their last five home games

Fordham is quite simply having trouble scoring the basketball. The visitors must find a way to do so on Wednesday because Davidson boasts one of the most high-powered attacks in the Atlantic 10. Gibbs and Aldridge make the sharpshooting Wildcats especially dangerous. The Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight overall, 0-5-1 ATS in their last six on the road, 0-3-1 ATS in their last four against the Atlantic 10, and 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight following a loss. Davidson is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 at home against opponents with road winning percentages under .400. Look for those trends to continue.

Pick: Davidson Wildcats -14

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.