Ole Miss vs. Georgia, 01/11/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#719 The University of Georgia Bulldogs
vs.
#720 University of Mississippi Rebels

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Georgia Bulldogs (10-5; 5-6 ATS; 5-6 O/U) vs. Ole Miss Rebels (10-5; 8-7 ATS; 8-7 O/U)

NCAAB: Wednesday, January 11, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: Mississippi -2

Total: 149

The Ole Miss Rebels will host the Georgia Bulldogs in an SEC battle Wednesday night from the Pavilion at Ole Miss. Georgia is coming off a solid 71-66 home win over Missouri on Saturday, and Ole Miss edged Auburn 88-85 in their latest action. Each team won on their home court in last year’s season series.

Bulldogs Ride Big Second Half to Win over Missouri

The Georgia Bulldogs scored 51 points in the second half to top Missouri 72-61 on Saturday. The Bulldogs came out flying in the second half after a altercation between the Georgia and Missouri assistant coaches at the end of the first half. Georgia finished the night shooting 45% from the field, and were able to overcome a 2 for 15 effort from beyond the arc in the win. Yante Maten led the offensive charge, scoring 17 points with nine rebounds, coming one rebound shy of his fifth double-double of the season. The junior forward is having an outstanding season, sitting third in the Big 12 in scoring averaging 20.2 points per game, although he has only reached over 20 points in one out of his last five games. J.J. Frazier chipped in with 16 points on 50% shooting in the victory. The 5-foot-10 senior has not quite matched last year’s production, averaging 16 points after scoring 17 points per game last season. Georgia now owns a 2-1 record in SEC play and have won five out of their last seven games. The Bulldogs are currently ranked 60th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Georgia is now scoring an average of 73.9 points per game, ranking them 186th overall, and own a 44.9 field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are allowing an average of 68.4 points per game, placing them down at 99th overall.

Ole Miss Notches First Conference Win

The Ole Miss Rebels used a huge second half to defeat the Auburn Tigers 88-85 on the road on Saturday. Mississippi shot a solid 49% from the field and made 12 of 27 three-pointers in their first SEC win of the season. Deandre Burnett let the way offensively, sinking 18 points and went 10 for 12 from the line which included four clutch free throws in the final minute. The junior guard has been tremendous this season, now averaging 19 points per game, placing him third in the SEC in scoring. Sebastian Saiz picked up his sixth consecutive double-double in the victory with ten rebounds and 14 points, and has now recorded ten double-doubles on the season. The 6-foot-9 senior forward has been great on both sides of the ball, and is now averaging 15.6 points and leads the SEC with 12.1 rebounds per game. The Rebels can score a lot of points and great size and are ranked 22nd in the Nation in rebounding. They are now 1-2 in SEC play and are placed at 84th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Mississippi features a strong offense, now averaging 80 points per game, ranking them 54th overall, and are shooting 43.6% as a team. The Rebels are allowing an average of 77.5 points per game, placing them 290th overall.

Trends:

Georgia Bulldogs are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after an ATS loss.
  • 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games.

The Ole Miss Rebels are:

  • 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games against Georgia.

I am siding with Georgia in this matchup. Georgia plays strong defense, holding teams to only 40% shooting and Ole Miss is only shooting 43% from the field as it is, so I expect the Bulldogs to slow down the Rebels in this one. Also Mississippi does not play good defense, so I expect Yante Maten (20.2 PPG) and the Bulldogs offense to have a big night. Georgia is 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Mississippi and I think that trend continues in this one.

Pick: Georgia Bulldogs +2

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.