USF vs. Tulane, 01/11/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#722 University of South Florida Bulls
vs.
#721 Tulane University Green Wave

Wednesday, January 1 2017, at 7:00pm EST

Written by

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Tulane Green Wave (3-12; 2-8-1 ATS; 7-4 O/U) vs. South Florida Bulls (6-8; 5-6 ATS; 5-6 O/U)

NCAAB: Wednesday, January 11, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: South Florida -6

Total: 141

The South Florida Bulls will aim for their first conference win of the season when they host the Tulane Green Wave Wednesday night from the USF Sun Dome. Tulane lost 80-59 to Memphis in their latest action, and South Florida is coming off a 84-65 road loss to SMU. Each team notched a victory in last season’s head-to-head action.

Green Wave Look to End Five Game Losing Streak

The Tulane Green Wave had a tough time defending Memphis in their 80-59 home loss on Sunday evening. The Green Wave shot an abysmal 34% from the field and Memphis was able to shoot 52% and they out-rebounded 43-32 Tulane. Kain Harris was able to score 15 points in only 24 minutes of playing time in the loss. The sophomore guard has made a big leap forward after scoring 4.9 points per game in his freshman campaign, now scoring 11.1 points per game. Tulane’s leading scorer Cameron Reynolds was quiet in the loss, going 4 for 11 from the field for 11 points. Reynolds has been better than expected, now averaging a team-leading 15.5 points per game and 6.2 rebounds after averaging only 6.6 points per game last season. It has been a very ugly start to the season for the Green Wave, currently on a five game losing streak and it will be another long season for Tulane. They are currently ranked down at 295th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Tulane is only averaging 69.6 points per game, ranking them 267th overall, and are shooting a very weak 39.4% as a team. The Green Wave are conceding an average of 79.5 points per game, placing them down at 318th overall.

South Florida Searching for First Conference Win

The South Florida Bulls were overmatched by a red hot SMU team in their 84-65 road loss on Saturday night. The Bulls shot 44% from the field but allowed SMU to shot 54.5% and were badly out-rebounded by a 39-23 margin. Troy Holston Jr. led the way offensively in the loss, collecting a season-high 20 points on 7 for 17 shooting. The sophomore guard is now third in team scoring with 11.5 points per game. One bright spot in an otherwise rough season has been the play of freshman Tulio Da Silva who scored 12 points on a  perfect 6 for 6 mark from the field, along with nine rebounds on Saturday. Da Silva is averaging a team-leading 8.6 rebounds per game, and now sits third in team scoring with 10.7 points per game. The Bulls have had a nightmare of a season, losing leading scorer Jahmal McMurray to a transfer after three games played and head coach Orlando Antigua was fired last week. The Bulls are currently ranked 253rd overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

South Florida is not a high scoring team, averaging only 67.1 points per game, ranking them down at 298th overall, and own a 43.9 field goal percentage. The Bulls are conceding an average of 69.8 points per game, placing them 128th overall.

Trends:

The Tulane Green Wave are:

  • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

The South Florida Bulls are:

  • No Key Trends

I am taking South Florida in this contest. Tulane is one of the worst defensive teams in the Nation, and they have allowed 80 or more points in their three conference games this season, so USF should have success on offense. Also, South Florida plays solid defense, holding teams to 39.7% shooting, and Tulane is only averaging 63 points over their last five games, so I think USF is definitely the play in this one.

Pick: South Florida Bulls -6

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.