Utah State vs. Wyoming, 01/11/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#758 University of Wyoming Cowboys
vs.
#757 Utah State University Aggies

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Utah State Aggies v. Wyoming Cowboys at the Arena-Auditorium in Laramie, Wyoming

Wednesday, January 11th, 2017 at 9:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: Wyoming Cowboys -4.5

Over/Under: 152

The Utah State Aggies are headed to Laramie, Wyoming for a showdown with the Wyoming Cowboys in this Mountain West matchup. The Aggies are 8-7 this season, and they’ve gone 2-2 in the Mountain West so far. Utah State has won two in a row heading into this showdown with Wyoming. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 11-5, and 1-2 in the conference. Will Wyoming pick up their second conference win at home on Wednesday night?

Aggies pull away from UNLV

Utah State earned a 79-63 win over the UNLV Rebels on Saturday night. The Aggies trailed with 11 minutes remaining in the game, but they managed to pull away from the Rebels in the final minutes. Koby McEwen was terrific in the victory. McEwen played up to his first name by scoring 28 points on 77% shooting. The freshman guard also added 7 rebounds, 6 assists, and 2 blocks in his best game as a collegiate athlete. McEwen was on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 5 three-pointers in the win.

The Aggies were red hot from the field in Saturday’s win over UNLV. Utah State made 53% of their shots from the field. Additionally, the Aggies connected on 62% of their three-point attempts. Utah State has been a good shooting team all season long. They’re third in the conference when it comes to field goal percentage. The Aggies are making nearly 47% of their attempts from the field. Utah State is also third in three-point shooting. They’re hitting over 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Cowboys killed in Fresno

The Wyoming Cowboys really struggled in their trip to Fresno, losing 85-70 to the Fresno State Bulldogs on Wednesday night. Alexander Aka Gorski had a great game despite the loss. Aka Gorski led the Cowboys in scoring with 19 points. Hayden Dalton had a nice night off the bench. Dalton posted a double-double with 14 points, 13 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal. Wyoming will need more players in order to beat Utah State in this one.

Rebounding was one of the main reasons that Wyoming lost to Fresno State last week. The Cowboys were dominated on the glass. The Bulldogs hauled in 12 more rebounds than Wyoming, which was surprising. For the season, the Wyoming Cowboys have been a great rebounding team. The Cowboys lead the Mountain West in rebounding. They’re averaging over 40 rebounds per game this season. Wyoming will try to bounce back as they play for the first time in a week on Wednesday.

Trends

The Utah State Aggies are:

  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

The Wyoming Cowboys are:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

The Wyoming Cowboys have been struggling recently, but I think their return home will help them climb out of this slump. The Cowboys are 10-1 at home, and their only loss came to #23 USC. Three of Wyoming’s last four wins at home have come by double-digits. Meanwhile, Utah State lost by 19 the last time they visited the Cowboys in Wyoming, and the home team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these two teams. I like the Wyoming Cowboys to cover at home.

Pick: Wyoming Cowboys -4

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.