BYU vs. San Francisco, 01/12/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#556 Brigham Young University Cougars
vs.
#555 University of San Francisco Dons

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

San Francisco Dons v. BYU Cougars at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah

Thursday, January 12th, 2017 at 9:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: BYU Cougars -13

Over/Under: 162.5

The Cougars of BYU are hosting the San Francisco Dons in this West Coast Conference matchup. The Cougars 12-5, and they’re currently 3rd in the conference with a 3-1 record. Meanwhile, the Dons are 11-6, but they haven’t had much luck during their WCC schedule. San Francisco is just 1-3, which makes them 6th in the conference standings. The Dons are double-digit underdogs in this one. Will they find a way to upset the Cougars on Thursday night?

Ugly second half dooms the Dons

The San Francisco Dons held a lead over the #19 St. Mary’s Gaels at intermission of Saturday night’s game. However, the Don’s had a brutal second half, and they wound up losing 63-52. Ronnie Boyce had a great game for San Francisco. Boyce scored a team-high 19 points. He also led the Dons in rebounds with 6 boards. Boyce was the only player on San Francisco’s roster that reached double-digits in scoring in the loss to St. Mary’s.

San Francisco really struggled offensively. They made just 37% of their shots from the field. The Dons really struggled from beyond the arc. They made less than 19% of their shots from the outside. The Dons were dominated by the Gaels on the glass. San Francisco was outrebounded by 16 rebounds. They’ve struggled on the boards all season long. The San Francisco Dons are averaging 35.5 rebounds per game, which is 7th in the West Coast Conference.

BYU routs Pacific

The BYU Cougars were dominant in their 91-62 beatdown of the Pacific Tigers. The Cougars never trailed in the blowout victory. Erik Mika led BYU with a double-double in just 20 minutes. Mika put up 17 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, and a block. Elijah Bryant also scored 17 points off the bench in the win. TJ Haws added 15 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists as a starter. Haws made 3 three-pointers in the victory over Pacific.

BYU’s offense was terrific in the win. They made 51% of their field goals. The Cougars also connected on 42% of their shots from beyond the arc. They had 19 assists as well on the night. BYU has had one of the best offenses in the conference. The Cougars are scoring nearly 84 points per game this season, which is the 2nd most in the West Coast Conference. They’re also second in assists, the Cougars average 17.4 assists per game.

 

Trends

The San Francisco Dons are:

  • 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. West Coast.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The BYU Cougars are:

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
  • 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

San Francisco has been awful against the WCC this season. They’ve lost their last three games, and four of their last five. Their last four losses have come by an average of 13.5 points. Meanwhile, BYU has looked incredibly impressive. They’ve won their last four home games by double-digits. The Cougars have beaten the Dons six consecutive times, and I think it will be seven consecutive on Thursday night. BYU will win this one by 20. I like the Cougars to cover against the Dons.

Pick: BYU Cougars -13

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.