Miami – FL vs. Notre Dame, 01/12/17 – Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
vs.
Miami Hurricanes

Thursday, January 12, 2017 at 7:00pm

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

#20 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-2; ATS; 6-3-1 ATS; 7-3 O/U) vs. Miami Florida Hurricanes (11-3; 3-9 ATS; 3-8 O/U)

NCAAB: Thursday, January 12, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: Miami Florida -2

Total: 139

The 20th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish will take on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes Thursday night from the BankUnited Center in Coral Gables. Notre Dame is coming off a solid 75-70 home win over Clemson, and Miami Florida fell by a 70-55 score to Syracuse in their latest action over a week ago. Miami Florida defeated Notre Dame in both meetings last season.

Fighting Irish Aim for Fourth Straight Conference Win

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish come into this game looking for their fourth straight conference win after notching a 75-70 home win over Clemson this past weekend. Notre Dame shot 46.7% from the field and made a remarkable 15 three-pointers in the victory. V.J. Beachem was outstanding, sinking 22 points which included six three-pointers. The senior forward struggled in his two prior contests, and is now averaging 14.6 points per game. Notre Dame’s leading scorer Bonzie Colson was solid as well, scoring 13 points along with 12 rebounds, collecting his third straight double-double and now has ten on the season. Colson has been doing it all for the Fighting Irish, leading the team in scoring with 16.4 points per game, and also leads the team and the entire ACC with 10.8 rebounds per game. The Fighting Irish have currently won five straight games and edged Pittsburgh 78-77 in their only road game of the  season.

Notre Dame features a powerful offense, now scoring 82.3 points per game, good for 32nd in the Nation, and are shooting 47.4% as a team. The Fighting Irish have also played solid defense, conceding an average of 66.7 points per game, placing them 73rd overall.

Hurricanes Look to Remain Undefeated at Home

The Miami Florida Hurricanes did not shoot the ball well in their 70-55 road loss to Syracuse last week. The Hurricanes shot only 39% from the field, and struggled defensively, allowing the Orange to shoot 57% on the night. Only one Hurricane was able to reach double-digits in points with Dejan Vasiljevic leading the way with 18 points on 50% shooting. Vasiljevic is off to a great start to his collegiate career, as the freshman is averaging 7.2 points per game on only an average of 18 minutes of playing time. Bruce Brown is a very promising young talent to watch in this one. The freshman guard has been very impressive, averaging 10.9 points per game and is second in team rebounding with 7.3 per game. Ja’Quan Newton struggled in the loss, making only three of 12 shots from the field for a total of eight points. Newton leads the Hurricanes with 15.2 points per game. Miami now sits at 1-1 in ACC play and are currently ranked 37th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Miami Florida is now averaging 73.6 points per game, ranking them 197th overall, and own a 46.7 field goal percentage. The Hurricanes play stifling defense, allowing an average of 59.7 points per game, good for sixth in the Country.

Trends:

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Hurricanes.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning home record.

The Miami Florida Hurricanes are:

  • No Key Trends

I am taking Miami Florida in this one. The Hurricanes defense has been tremendous, holding opponents to 38% shooting so they should be able to hold down Notre Dame’s offense. Also, Miami Florida has the decisive rebounding advantage which makes a world of difference in these games. The Hurricanes are averaging 39 rebounds per game and are great underneath their basket, allowing only 28 rebounds per game, so that should definitely help their cause, plus Miami has yet to lose at home this season.

Pick: Miami Florida -2

Notre Dame features a strong offense and shoot the three-ball well, while Miami owns a tremendous defense that makes it difficult for team to shoot the three. I think Miami will be able to slow down the Notre Dame scoring attack, especially because they are holding teams to 30% shooting from beyond the arc. The under is 17-7 in Miami’s last 24 games against the ACC, and I think that continues in this one.

Pick: Under

4

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Last Updated: January 12, 2017

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.