Northern Kentucky vs. Wisconsin Milwaukee, 01/12/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#548 University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers
vs.
#547 Northern Kentucky University Norse

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Northern Kentucky Norse (12-6 SU, 10-4-0 ATS, 5-9-0 OU) vs Milwaukee Panthers (4-12 SU, 8-6-0 ATS, 5-9-0 OU)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Thursday, January 12, 2017

Where: UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Lines: Northern Kentucky -3

Total: 140.5

College basketball action in the Horizon League this evening and the Northern Kentucky Norse will battle it out with the Milwaukee Panthers at UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Norse enter this contest off an 80-71 road loss to Green Bay, while the Panthers check in off an 80-74 loss to Green Bay as well and have now lost their last seven games in a row overall.

Defense Struggles In Loss To Phoenix

Northern Kentucky has had a nice little run as they have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games, but they come in off a 80-71 loss at Green Bay. Their defense has been on the average side for much of the season, but they struggled at that end of the court vs a very good Green Bay offense. They allowed 49.2% shooting overall, including 40% from long range. Those are not numbers that they are used to allowing. Ther offense struggled some as well as they hit just 41.7% of their shots overall, but they did hit 47.8% of their shots from long range. That three-point shooting kept them in the game from much of it. Leading the attack was Drew McDonald, who put up 23 points in the game, while also grabbing 12 boards. McDonald is the team’s leading scorer at 17.1 ppg and is also their leading rebounder at 8.4 rpg. Rounding out the double-digit scorers in the loss was Cole Murray, who had 11 points and Carson Williams, who had 10. On the year, the Norse have just four players that average more than 6.1 ppg.

The Norse check in at 113th in the nation in scoring, putting up 76.8 ppg, while also ranking 120th in FG% (45.7%), 181st in 3-point shooting (35.3%) and 257th in free throw shooting (66.3%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been average as they come in ranked 160th in points allowed, giving up 70.9 ppg, while also ranking 194th in defensive FG% (43.5%) and 101st in 3-point defense (32.5%).

Skid Hits Seven In A Row With Loss To The Phoenix

The Milwaukee Panthers also played Green Bay in their last game and they also lost their game as they fell 80-74 in the contest. They are now 0-3 within the Horizon League and 0-7 in their last seven games overall. They appear headed for a long year and for them it will be their offense that does them in as it is one of the worst in the league. They were able to put up 74 in the loss to the Phoenix, but they are not a good defensive and play at a high pace which does allow bad offenses to score on them. They did average just 60.3 ppg (regulation) in their six games prior to the loss to the Phoenix. Leading the attack in that game was Brock Stull, who had 25 points, while Cody Wichmann had 17 and August Haas had 12. The Panthers did hit 44% of their shots from long range and they held the Phoenix just 18.8% from long range, but they were also outscored 27-9 from the charity stripe and outrebounded 42-26. The Panthers have six players that average at least 6.1 ppg and have been led by Stull, who is putting up 12.1 ppg and Wichmann, who is averaging 11.6 ppg.    

Milwaukee enters the game ranked 314th in the nation in scoring, putting up 65.8 ppg, while also ranking 254th in FG% (42.8%), 124th in 3-point shooting (36.5%) and 299th in free throw shooting (64.7%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been average as they come in ranked 161st in points allowed, giving up 71.1 ppg, while also ranking 327th in defensive FG% (47.5%) and 176th in 3-point defense (34.5%).

Trends

Northern Kentucky is:

  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
  • 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss

Milwaukee is:

  • 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games
  • 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games following three or more consecutive road games

Both teams enter off a loss to the same team, but still the Norse have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games, while. The panthers have lost their last seven games in a row. This will not be easy, but I do see the Norse getting the better of the Panthers in this one They have the momentum and the much better offense, while their defenses are the same. The Panthers just won’t come up with enough offense to win this game. Take the small favorite in this game.

Pick: Northern Kentucky -3

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.