Washington vs. Cal, 01/12/17 - Prediction

Game Snapshot

#564 University of California, Berkeley Golden Bears
vs.
#563 University of Washington Huskies

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Washington Huskies (8-7 SU, 5-9 ATS, 8-6 O/U) vs. California Golden Bears (11-5 SU, 7-9 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

NCAAB: Thursday, January 12, 2017 at 9:00 p.m. EST

The Line: California Golden Bears -11.5. Total: 149.5.

The California Golden Bears have won two of their last three games heading into a home date with the Washington Huskies at Haas Pavilion on Thursday night. California is coming off a one-point win over USC this past weekend. The Huskies halted a two-game losing streak by defeating Oregon State last Saturday.

Freshman and sophomore

Washington guard Markelle Fultz has had a hand in almost half of the team’s scoring this season (45.3 percent) between his 22.1 points and 6.4 assists per game. He currently leads the Pac-12 in scoring and is 11th in the nation (first among freshmen) in that department. Fultz also has 96 assists on the season, already good for seventh among freshmen on UW’s all-time list. The Upper Marlboro, Mary. native has recorded 11 20-plus scoring performances in 15 games.

Since moving into the starting lineup 11 games ago, sophomore forward Noah Dickerson is almost averaging a double-double with 11.0 points and 9.4 rebounds while shooting 45.1 percent from the field. In the last eight outings, Dickerson is 40-for-49 from the free-throw line while getting to the charity stripe an average of 6.1 times per game in that span. Dickerson has also improved his rebounding average to 8.4 per game from 5.2 a season ago.

Rabb on a roll

California sophomore Ivan Rabb is averaging 17.5 points and 14.8 rebounds per game since the Pac-12 schedule began. He also leads the Golden Bears in steals (five) in those four contests. After powering California to a 74-73 win over Southern Cal last Sunday, Rabb earned Pac-12 Player of the Week honors one day later. The 6-foot-11 forward sank two go-ahead free throws in the final seconds before blocking the Trojans’ final shot. Earlier in the week, Rabb grabbed a career-high 20 rebounds at UCLA. In two games he averaged 17.0 points and 14.0 rebounds.

Cal’s road upset of then-No. 25 USC was its first true road win over a ranked opponent since 2013. Rabb led the way with 17 points, eight boards, and a career-high three steals. Charlie Moore (16 points), Jabari Bird (12), and Don Coleman (12) also scored in double-figures.

NCAAB Trends:

The Washington Huskies are:

  • 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall
  • 0-4 ATS in their last four road games
  • 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records

The California Golden Bears are:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall
  • 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 game against the Pac-12
  • 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Washington

California’s defense has been particularly stingy inside Haas Pavilion this season, surrendering just 59.6 points per game while holding opponents to 37.5 percent shooting from the floor. The Golden Bears own a plus-7.5 rebounding margin and are averaging 5.0 blocks per game at home. They are averaging 73.5 points at home, including five 80-point games. The Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall, 0-4 ATS in their last four on the road, and 0-6 ATS in their last six against winning opponents. California is 5-2 ATS in its last seven overall, 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 against the Pac-12, and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: California Golden Bears -11.5

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.