Wisconsin Green Bay vs. Wright State, 01/12/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#541 Wright State University Raiders
vs.
#542 University of Wisconsin - Green Bay Phoenix

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Wright State Raiders (11-6 SU, 8-7-0 ATS, 7-8-0 OU) vs Green Bay Phoenix (10-6 SU, 7-7-0 ATS, 6-8-0 OU)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Thursday, January 12, 2017

Where: Resch Center in Green Bay, Wisconsin

Lines: Green Bay -4.5

Total: 152

Horizon League college basketball action this evening and the Wright State Raiders will grapple with the Green Bay Phoenix at Resch Center in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Raiders come in at 11-6 overall and they are 2-2 in the Horizon League, while the Phoenix are at 10-6 on the year, including 4-0 in league play.

Defense Struggles In Loss To The Penguins

The Wright State Raiders are off to an 11-6 start and they are 2-2 in the Horizon League. They have not had many issues this year on defense, but they just allowed 80 points to Youngstown State in a 80-75 loss in their last game. The defense has been solid overall this year, but it has struggled some in league play so far as they have at least 72 points in three of their four games and at least 80 points in two of those games. Now they will be taking on one of the best offensive teams in the league. They better figure out that defense or they could be in for a long game. The Raider have been a decent offensive team this year and should have good success vs a poor  Phoenix.  In the loss to the Penguins they were led by Steven Davis, who had 19, while Justin Mitchell had 18 and Grant Benzinger and Mark Alstork had 12 each. They had just five players put up more than two points in the game, but all five had at least 10 points. On the year, they have four players that have averaged at least 7.6 ppg and have been led by Alstork at 18.8 ppg, while 2nd is Steven Davis at 15.8 ppg.  

The Raiders check in at 144th in the nation in scoring, putting up 74.5 ppg, while also ranking 236th in FG% (43.2%), 57th in 3-point shooting (38.5%) and 17th in free throw shooting (76.5%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been decent as they come in ranked 130th in points allowed, giving up 69.8 ppg, while also ranking 146th in defensive FG% (42.6%) and 64th in 3-point defense (31.7%).

Phoenix Still Perfect In League Play

The Green Bay Phoenix play at a high tempo on offense and they play very little defense and that formula has worked for them so far this year. They have gone 1-6 overall, including 4-0 in league play. They have averaged 81.5 ppg in league play so far and have allowed 74.3 ppg over the same stretch of games. If that defense every fully comes around, then this team may not be beaten in the Horizon League this year. In their last game they took out Northern Kentucky by a score of 80-71 here at home and they shot 49.2% from the field overall, including 40.0% from long range. They take a lot of shots because of their pace of play, and they do not shoot the ball well overall, but they did in this game. Leading their attack was Jamar Hurdle, who had 15 points, while Charles Cooper and Kenneth Lowe each had 13 points and Khalil Small had 12 to round out the double-digit scorers for the Phoenix in the game. On the year, they have seven players that average at least 7.6 ppg and they have been led by Cooper at 13.9 ppg, while Trevor Anderson is 2nd at 11.5 ppg and 3rd is Small at 10.2 ppg.  

Green Bay enters the game ranked 46th in the nation in scoring, putting up 80.7 ppg, while also ranking 182nd in FG% (44.3%), 282nd in 3-point shooting (32.2%) and 223rd in free throw shooting (68.0%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been poor as they come in ranked 282nd in points allowed, giving up 76.9 ppg, while also ranking 145th in defensive FG% (42.5%) and 283rd in 3-point defense (37.0%).

Trends

Wright State is:

  • The Under is 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • The Under is 12-5 in their last 17 road games

Green Bay is:

  • The Under is 37-18-1 in their last 56 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5
  • The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings here in Green Bay

The Wright State Raiders are a solid team, but so are the Phoenix as they have jumped out to a 4-0 start in league play. I feel that the play in this one is on the total. The only way that the Raiders have a chance to win this game is if they slow it down and I feel that they will. That should keep the scoring down. Their defense has been solid as always and while the Green Bay defense has struggled at home, they will be taking on a team that has averaged just 70.6 ppg on the road. Take the Under in this one.

Pick: Under 152

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.