Brown vs. Penn, 02/17/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#860 Brown University Bears
vs.
#859 University of Pennsylvania Quakers

Written by

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Penn Quakers (9-12 SU, 7-10-0 ATS, 6-11-0 OU) vs Brown Bears (11-13 SU, 7-8-0 ATS, 9-6-0 OU)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, February 17, 2017

Where: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center in Providence, Rhode Island

Lines: Penn -1

Total: 148.5

It’s Friday evening in the Ivy League and the Penn Quakers will travel to Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center in Providence, Rhode Island to brawl with the Brown Bears. The Quakers have won their last two games in a row after defeating Cornell at home by a score of 82-63, while the Bears check in off a 77-74 home loss to Dartmouth and they have now lost five of their last six games. Both teams come in at 2-6 in league play.

Offense Wakes Up In Big Win Over Cornell

The Penn Quakers started league play at 0-6, but they have bounced back to with their last two games and now they look to keep it going against a struggling Brown squad. The offense has been a real issue for the Quakers this year, but that was not the case in their 82-63 home win over Cornell in their last game. That was the most points they scored in a game this year and just the 2nd time all season that they hit the 80 point mark. The Quakers shot 54.7% from the field overall in the game and they won by 19 despite the fact that they missed 11 free throws in the contest. The defense did allow the Big Red to hit 40.9% from long range, but just 38.9% from the field overall. This defense has been what has led this team this year and if their offense continues to grow then they could be a tough out the rest of the season. Leading their attack against the Big Red was Ryan Betley, who had 22 points, while AJ Brodeur had 15 and Matt Howard had 11 to round out their double-digit scorers in the game.    

Penn comes in having averaged 64.1 ppg and have allowed 67.9 ppg in league play thus far, while in true road games this year they have averaged 66.7 ppg and have allowed 66.7 ppg. The Quakers check in at 300th in the nation in scoring, putting up 67.2 ppg, while also ranking 236th in FG% (43.4%), 277th in 3-point shooting (32.8%) and 337th in free throw shooting (63.5%). At the defensive end of the floor they have strong as they come in ranked 64th in points allowed, giving up 67.7 ppg, while also ranking 72nd in defensive FG% (41.6%) and 253rd in 3-point defense (36.2%).

Big Red Falls To Big Green At Home

The Brown Bears have really been struggling of late as they have won just one of their last six games. They have now lost their last three games in a row after falling to Dartmouth at home by a score of 77-74. They have now lost their last four games in a row here at home after winning their first eight on this floor this year. This is a team that has fallen on hard times. The offense has been very solid for them this year, but the defense has let them and it did so in the loss to Dartmouth as they allowed the Big Green to hit 57.7% of their shots overall, including 52.2% from long range. That is bad defense against an offense that is 321st in the nation in scoring and 261st in the nation in shooting. The offense didn’t have a bad game as they hit 46.3% of their shots overall, including 37.5% of their shots from long range. The offense has not been the issue of this team, especially of late as they have allowed 80.4 ppg in their last five games, while averaging 76.4 ppg over the same stretch.  Leading their attack in the game was Steven Spieth, who had 21, while Tavon Blackmon had 17 and Obi Okolie had 13.   

Brown has put up 75.5 ppg and has allowed 80.5 ppg within the Ivy this year so far, while at home overall they have averaged 80.0 ppg and have allowed 78.4 ppg. The Bears check in at 98th in the nation in scoring, putting up 77.0 ppg, while also ranking 160th in FG% (44.8%), 86th in 3-point shooting (37.4%) and 32nd in free throw shooting (75.6%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been poor as they come in ranked 296th in points allowed, giving up 77.7 ppg, while also ranking 348th in defensive FG% (49.6%) and 244th in 3-point defense (36.0%).

Trends

Penn is:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Road team is 11-4 ATS the last 15 games in this series

Brown is:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the Ivy League

The Penn Quakers had a real rough start to their Ivy League season as they lost their first six games, but they have since bounced back to win their last two games, while the Brown Bears have headed in the opposite direction as they have lost five of their last six games. The Bears have a good offense, but they don’t play a whole lot of defense and while the Quakers haven’t been good on offense this year, they have played great defense this year and that is where I feel that they will win this game. The offense has been a bit better for Penn of late as they have put up 82 and 70 points in their last two games and that offense should do damage against a weak Bears defense, while the Quakers defense will keep the Bears offense under wraps.

Pick: Penn -1

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.