Cornell vs. Dartmouth, 02/17/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#853 Cornell University Big Red
vs.
#854 Dartmouth College Big Green

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Cornell Big Red (6-17; 7-8-2 ATS; 8-9 O/U) vs. Dartmouth Big Green (5-16; 5-8 ATS: 4-9 O/U)

NCAAB: Friday, February 17, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: Dartmouth -2

Total: 140.5

The Dartmouth Big Green will host the Cornell Big Red in Ivy League action Friday night from the Edward Leede Arena in Hanover, NH. Cornell is coming off an 82-63 road loss to Pennsylvania, and Dartmouth tallied a 77-74 road win over Brown in their latest action last weekend. Cornell notched a 75-62 home win over Dartmouth earlier this season. Matt Morgan scored a team-high 22 points for Cornell, and Evan Boudreaux tallied 23 points and 14 rebounds for Dartmouth.

Cornell Looks to Snap Four Game Skid

The Cornell Big Red only scored 14 points in the first half in their 82-63 road loss to Pennsylvania in their latest action. The Big Red shot a weak 39% from the field, and played poor defense as Pennsylvania was able to make 29 of 53 shots from the field for 54% shooting. Robert Hatter led the way offensively with a solid 22 point effort on 7 for 14 shooting. The senior guard has now scored a combined 40 point over his last two games, but is not having the season he had last year, averaging 12 points after posting 17.1 last season. Cornell’s leading scorer Matt Morgan was not at his best, going 4 for 12 from the field for 12 points. The sophomore guard has had some huge games this season, and is now averaging a solid 17.3 points per game. The Big Red have now dropped four consecutive games and have not won consecutive games all season as their defense continues to be an issue. They are now 2-6 in Ivy League play and are ranked at 264th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Cornell is now scoring an average of 71.7 points per game, ranking them 225th overall, and are shooting 45% from the field. The Big Red are weak defensively, now conceding an average of 77.1 points per game, placing them down at 287th overall.

Dartmouth Edges Brown for Second Conference Win

The Dartmouth Big Green hit a clutch game-winning three pointer to notch a 77-74 road win over Brown in their previous action. The Big Green had their shots falling, shooting a dazzling 57.7% from the field, and went 12 for 23 from three-point range. Evan Boudreaux was unstoppable, scoring 21 points on 9 for 14 shooting, and also picked up 13 rebounds. The 6-foot-8 forward is one of the most talented players in the Ivy League, and has now scored 18 or more points in four out of his last five games. Boudreaux is now averaging a team-leading 16.7 points along with 9.3 rebounds per game. Guilien Smith shot the ball well, going 6 for 9 for 14 points. The sophomore guard has been streaky this season, but has looked good over his last four games, and is second in team scoring with 11.9 points per game. Dartmouth has now won two out of their last three after losing six consecutive games in late January to early February. The Big Green are in a four-way tie four last place in the Ivy League with a 2-6 record. They are currently ranked down at 300th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Dartmouth struggles to score points on many nights, now averaging only 65.8 points per game, ranking them down at 321st overall, and own are shooting 42.7% as a team. The Big Green are allowing an average of 73 points per game, positioning them 201st overall.

Trends:

The Cornell Big Red are:

  • 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.

The Dartmouth Big Green are:

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning percentage below .500.

I am taking Dartmouth in this one. Dartmouth is starting to play better basketball, winning two out of their last three games while Cornell has lost four straight. Dartmouth is coming off a solid road win over Brown where they scored 77 points so I am confident they can bring that momentum into this one. Cornell plays weak defense, and have allowed an average of 77.5 points over their last four games, so I am confident Evan Boudreaux (16.7 PPG) and the Dartmouth offense can have success offensively, plus Dartmouth plays the better defense overall.

 

Pick: Dartmouth -2

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.