VCU vs. Richmond, 02/17/17 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#864 University of Richmond Spiders
vs.
#863 Virginia Commonwealth University Rams

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

VCU Rams v. Richmond Spiders at the Robins Center in Richmond, Virginia

Friday, February 17th, 2017 at 9:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: VCU Rams -3.5

Over/Under: 145

The Richmond Spiders are hosting the VCU Rams in this Atlantic 10 showdown. Both of these two conference rivals have winning records heading into this matchup. The Spiders are 15-10 on the season, and they’ve gone 9-4 in conference play.  They’re currently the third-place team in the Atlantic 10 Standings. VCU has been even better this season. The Rams are 21-5, and they have an 11-2 record in the A10. They’re currently atop the conference standings. Will VCU continue their winning ways with a victory over their in-state rivals on Friday night?

Lewis leads Rams past Saint Joseph’s

The VCU Rams won their seventh straight game on Tuesday night, beating the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in a 91-81 victory. JeQuan Lewis was spectacular in the win. Lewis scored a career-high 34 points on 56% shooting. The senior guard was on fire from beyond the arc. He made 9 three-pointers. Lewis made 60% of his shots from three-point land. Justin Tillman also had a nice game. Tillman scored 14 points and grabbed 13 rebounds. It was his fourth consecutive double-double.

VCU’s offense was very impressive in the win over the Saint Joseph’s Hawks. The Rams were on fire from the outside. They made 48% of their three-point attempts. VCU also had 20 assists in the victory. The Rams have been one of the A10’s best shooting teams this season. They’re making 47.2% of their shots from the field. VCU leads the conference in field goal percentage.

Richmond collapses late against George Mason

The Richmond Spiders were only down by 4 points with six minutes to go in Tuesday night’s game against the George Mason Patriots. However, the Spiders had a huge meltdown late in the game. The Patriots went on a 22-2 run to finish the game, and Richmond lost 93-70. T.J. Cline had a nice game in the disappointing loss. Cline was Richmond’s leading scorer with 21 points on 62% shooting. He also had 6 rebounds and 5 assists.

Richmond’s interior defense was practically nonexistent. The Spiders allowed George Mason to shoot 54%, and they allowed the Patriots to score 52 points in the second half. Richmond only blocked one shot in the loss. The Spiders are blocking the fewest shots in the Atlantic 10 this season. They’re only averaging 2.24 blocks per game.

Trends

The VCU Rams are:

  • 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.
  • 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Richmond Spiders are:

  • 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
  • 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.

VCU has been fantastic this season, and they have a ton of momentum heading into his one. The Rams have gone 15-2 in their last 17 games, and they’ve won 7 in a row. Meanwhile, the Spiders have really struggled recently. All four of their conference losses have come in their last eight games. VCU came away with a 7-point win the first time these two teams met, and they shot 52% from the field. The Rams have won their last two games by 10 or more points, and I think they’ll pick up another big win on Friday night. I like VCU to cover in this one.

Pick: VCU Rams -3.5

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.