Bradley vs. Evansville, 02/18/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#538 Bradley University Braves
vs.
#537 University of Evansville Purple Aces

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Evansville Purple Aces (14-14; 12-12 ATS; 13-11 O/I) vs. Bradley Braves (9-19; 13-13 ATS; 14-12 O/U)

NCAAB: Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 2:00pm EST

Line: Evansville -3

Total: 129.5

The Evansville Purple Aces will aim for their fifth straight win they head on the road to take on the Bradley Braves in an MVC matchup Saturday afternoon from the Carver Arena. Evansville defeated Drake 87-70 in their latest action, and Bradley fell 64-61 to Northern Iowa on Wednesday night. Bradley beat Evansville 74-63 earlier this season.

Evansville Aims for Fifth Consecutive Victory

The Evansville Purple Aces put on a spectacular shooting performance in their convincing 87-70 home win over Bradley last Tuesday. The Aces shot a sparkling 58% from the field, and also went 17 for 18 free the free throw line in the win. Jaylon Brown was outstanding, collecting 22 points on 9 for 15 shooting, and added eight rebounds. The senior guard has scored 22 or more points in three out of his last five games, and is now averaging a team-leading 20.3 points per game, ranking him first in the MVC in scoring. Brown scored 27 points which included a 17 for 20 mark from the free throw line in the loss to Bradley earlier this season. David Howard stepped up in the win on Tuesday, scoring 21 points along with nine rebounds and three blocks. The 6-foot-8 forward has been receiving more playing time as of late and has played well, now up to 6.4 points and five rebounds per game. The Purple Aces are peaking at the right time, winning four straight games, but are still only 5-10 in conference play, tying them for second last in the conference. The Purple Aces are currently placed at 141st overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Evansville is not a high-scoring team, averaging only 68.4 points per game, ranking them 286th overall, and are shooting 45.4% as a team. The Aces play outstanding defense, conceding an average of only 66.2 points per game, placing them 49th overall.

Bradley Looks to Snap Three Game Skid

The Bradley Braves came close but could not hit the big shots late in their 64-61 road loss to Northern Iowa on Wednesday night. The Braves shot a weak 40% on the night, while Northern Iowa converted on 47% of their shots. Jojo McGlaston led the way offensively with 15 points on 5 for 11 shooting. The junior guard has heated up as of late, reaching double-digits in points in four out of his last five games, and is now averaging 8.6 points per game. McGlaston scored 24 points in the win over the Purple Aces earlier this season. Braves’ top scorer Darrell Brown struggled in the loss on Wednesday night, going just 2 for 13 from the field for only seven points. The freshman guard has gone cold over his last two games, but overall he is having a solid first season, averaging 12 points per game. The Braves simply do not have enough scoring to compete, and have now lost nine out of their last ten games. They are tied for last in the MVC with a 4-11 conference record, and are ranked down at 246th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.

Bradley is really struggling offensively, averaging only 64.2 points per game, ranking them down at 333rd overall, and are shooting 41.7% as a team. The Braves are allowing an average of 70.7 points per game, placing them 140th overall.

Trends:

The Evansville Purple Aces are:

  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.
  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after an ATS win.

The Bradley Braves are:

  • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS win.

I am siding with Evansville in this one. Evansville is red hot right now, riding a four game-winning streak and they are also 4-0 ATS in those four games. Evansville is playing tremendous defense right now, allowing an average of only 66 points over their last four games and they are going against a Bradley team that has had big trouble scoring. Bradley is averaging an abysmal 57.6 points over their last nine games so I am very confident siding with Evansville in this one.

Pick: Evansville Aces -3

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.