Eastern Michigan vs. SMU, 11/13/16 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#713 Eastern Michigan University Eagles
vs.
#714 Southern Methodist University Mustangs

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Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-1; 1-0 ATS; 1-0 O/U) vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (1-0)

NCAAB: Sunday, November 13, 2016 at 2:00pm EST

Line: Southern Methodist -12

Total: 145.5

The Southern Methodist Mustangs will host the Eastern Michigan Eagles Sunday afternoon from the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX. Eastern Michigan lost 93-90 in double overtime on the road to Pittsburgh in their season opener, and Southern Methodist dominated Gardner-Webb by a 72-44 score on Friday night.

Eagles Edged in Double OT in Season Opener

The Eastern Michigan Eagles enter this season with high hopes as they return many key players from last season. The Eagles have a potential young star thats should continue to progress in James Thompson IV who had an incredible freshman campaign. Thompson won MAC rookie of the year last season, and averaged 14.8 points per game to go along with 10.6 rebounds per game, and shot a dazzling 64.8 % from the field. The Eagles will return their top scorer from last season in Ray Lee who averaged 15.1 points per game, as well as Willie Mangum IV who scored an average of 12 points per game. The Eagles dropped a tough one to start their season Friday night, falling 93-90 in double overtime to Pittsburgh. James Thompson only scored eight points in the loss, however senior Ray Lee was outstanding, making nine of 22 shots from the field good for 27 points. The Eagles showed great persistence, erasing a 12 point deficit with less than seven minutes remaining to force overtime. The Eagles are one of the best teams in the MAC, and are considered a favorite to win the MAC West by many.

Last season Eastern Michigan averaged 77.4 points per game, ranking them 72nd overall which could increase they season, and shot 45 % as a team. The Eagles conceded an average of 74.5 points per game, ranking them 248th overall.

Mustangs with Easy Game One Win

The Southern Methodist Mustangs easily defeated Gardner-Webb by a 72-44 score in a game that was over before it began. SMU shot 45%, and held Gardner-Webb to jut 30% shooting in what was more of a tune-up game for the Mustangs. SMU is looking forward to an impact season from Semi Ojeleye who red-shirted last season, and is a former Duke transfer. The 6-foot-7 native of Canada was tremendous in the Friday night win, scoring a team-high 26 points to go along with 14 rebounds, posting his first career double-double. One player poised for a breakout season is Shake Milton who averaged 10.5 points per game, last season, and shot a 42.6 % from three point range. Milton will see time at both point and shooting guard this season, and cold blossom into one of the best shooters in the conference. Milton scored 13 points in the season-opening win on Friday night. SMU was under a Postseason ban last season, however they will be making some noise near the top of the AAC this season with four returning players that averaged double-digit points last season.

Last season, SMU averaged 77.3 points per game, ranking them 75th overall, and shot 49.7% from the field. The Mustangs were outstanding defensively last season, conceding an average of only 63.4 points per game, good for 13th in the Nation.

Trends:

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are:

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

The Southern Methodist Eagles are:

  • 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games.

I am taking the points with Eastern Michigan in this contest. Eastern Michigan is a very talented team that returns their top four scorers from last season, including James Thompson IV who won MAC rookie of the year last season, and I expect to him rebound with a good game after a quiet season opener. The Eagles feature several great shooters, four of which averaged double-digit points last season, and I think their offense is just as good as the Southern Methodist offense. Their talented shooters should be able to have success against the Mustangs strong defense, and keep this one very close.

Pick: Eastern Michigan +12

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.