Texas A&M-CC vs. UMBC, 3/29/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#523 Texas A&M University–Corpus Christi Islanders
vs.
#524 University of Maryland, Baltimore County Retrievers

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders (23-11 SU, 11-17 ATS, 0-0 O/U) v. UMBC Retrievers (21-12 SU, 3-1 ATS, 0-0 O/U) at RAC Arena in Baltimore, Maryland

Wednesday, March 29th, 2017 at 7:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: UMBC Retrievers -2.5

Over/Under: 157.5

The CIT semifinals will get underway on Wednesday night in Baltimore, Maryland as the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders visit the UMBC Retrievers. The Retrievers finished their regular season with two consecutive losses, so their success in the tournament has been a welcome change. The Islanders have also looked great in the CIT. They’ve won all three of their tournament games by 9 points or more. Which club will advance to the CIT finals with a win on Wednesday night?

Islanders trounce the Mastodons

The Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders came away with an impressive 78-62 win over the Fort Wayne Mastodons in the quarterfinals. The Islanders ran out to a 10 point lead in the first half, and they never looked back. Rashawn Thomas had a fantastic game in the victory over Fort Wayne. Thomas posted a game-high 26 points on 50% shooting. He also added 16 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, and a block.

The Islanders played terrific defense in the quarterfinal victory. They held the Mastodons to just 40% shooting from the field. A&M-Corpus Christi also forced 19 turnovers. The Islanders absolutely dominated the glass. They pulled down 41 boards, giving them a 10-rebound advantage over Fort Wayne. The Islanders averaged over 34 rebounds per game this season.

UMBC extinguishes the Liberty Flames

The UMBC Retrievers advanced to the semifinals with an 80-68 victory over the Liberty Flames on Sunday. Will Darley and Jairus Lyles led the way for the Retrievers. Darley put up 18 points to go with 3 rebounds and 3 assists. Jairus Lyles was UMBC’s leading scorer. He poured in 20 points on 64% shooting. Lyles also added 8 rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal.

UMBC’s offense was fantastic in the win over Liberty. The Retrievers made 51% of their shots from the field. They also had a nice night from the outside in the victory. UMBC made 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc. The Retrievers were a very good offensive team throughout the season. They averaged 82 points per game during the regular season.

College Basketball Trends:

Texas A&M CC is:

Islanders are:

  • 4-1 ATS last 5 overall.
  • 5-2 ATS last 7 Wednesday games.

UMBC is:

n/a

 

This game will be played in Baltimore, but I don’t think the UMBC Retrievers will have much of a homecourt advantage. There were only 868 people in the stands for UMBC’s win over Liberty on Sunday. The Islanders have been playing really well. They’ve gone 14-2 in their last 16 games. Additionally, the Islanders have been on a roll during the CIT. They have a 13,7-point average margin of victory in their three tournament victories. I think the Islanders will continue to roll with a win in Baltimore on Wednesday. I’m taking the points in this one.

Pick: Texas A&M CC

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.