FAU vs. FIU, 10/1/16 - Preview & Prediction

Game Snapshot

#141 Florida Atlantic University Owls
vs.
#142 Florida International University Panthers

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Florida International Golden Panthers at FIU Stadium in Miami, Florida

Saturday, October 1st, 2016 at 7:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls -5

Over/Under: 52

The Florida Atlantic Owls don’t have to travel far for this week’s game. They’ll face off with their in-state rivals, the Florida International Golden Panthers. Both of these teams have struggled this season. The Owlsare 1-3 after four games. Meanwhile, the Golden Panthers are still winless after their first four contests. Will Florida International finally get a win in this Sunshine State showdown?

Owls can’t hold on to early lead

Florida Atlantic had a comfortable 14-0 lead against the Ball State Cardinals in the first quarter. However, they were dominated in the final three quarters of the game, losing to Ball State, 31-27. Kalib Woods had an impressive game in the home loss. Woods had 4 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown. The Owls are hoping that Woods can find the end zone once again in this matchup with the Golden Panthers.

Golden Panthers embarrassed by Central Florida

The Florida International Golden Panthers played host to the Central Florida Knights last week, and they struggled in a 53-14 blowout loss. The next day, FIU decided to fire head coach Ron Turner. The GoldenPanthers only picked up 11 first downs in the loss, and their offense gained a pitiful 189 yards. Anthony Jones had some success against Central Florida’s defense. The sophomore running back managed to score a touchdown on just eight carries. The Panthers are hoping that their offense will find a way to move the ball against Florida Atlantic in this one.

Trends

The Florida Atlantic Owls are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Florida International Golden Panthers are:

  • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Both of these clubs have had a tough time early on this season. The Owls and the Golden Panthers have faced off against superior opponents just about every week. However, Florida International will be at home, and this will be one of the first games they have a real chance of winning.  They should play hard for interim coach Ron Cooper, who was the team’s defensive coordinator. The Golden Panthers beat the Owls 38-10 the last time Florida Atlantic visited FIU Stadium, and I think the Panthers will win a close game on Saturday. I’m taking the points in this one.

Pick: Florida International Golden Panthers +5

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Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.