Redskins vs. Giants, 01/01/17 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#307 New York Giants
vs.
#308 Washington Redskins

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

New York Giants (10-5; 8-6-1 ATS; 4-11 O/U) vs. Washington Redskins (8-6-1; 10-5 ATS: 12-3 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, January 1, 2017 at 4:25 pm EST

Line: Washington -7.5

Total: 44

The playoff-bound New York Giants will head to Washington take on the Redskins in a divisional matchup Sunday afternoon from FedEx Field. The Giants are coming off a 24-19 road loss to the Eagles, and the Redskins crushed the Bears 41-21 last week. Washington beat New York 29-27 back in week three. Eli Manning tossed one touchdown with two interceptions for the Giants, and Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns with no interceptions in the win.

Giants Clinch First Playoff Birth in Five Years

The New York Giants did not play well in a 24-19 road loss to the Eagles but at the end of the day still clinched their first playoff berth in five years after the Buccaneers lost to the Saints. Eli Manning was not at his best, completing 38 of 63 passes for 346 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. Overall, the veteran quarterback has not had the season he had the last two seasons but has still played well, accumulating 3847 yards with a 26:16 TD to INT ratio. Odell Beckham Jr, was terrific in the loss, making 11 catches for 150 yards. The third-year wide receiver had another productive season, recording 1323 receiving yards with ten touchdowns, and could surpass another career high if he catches for more than 128 yards in this contest. The Giants were able to have success on the ground this week, collecting 114 rushing yards, but overall they not got benefited from production on the ground, owning the 29th ranked running game. The Giants will likely not play Manning or Beckham Jr. the entire game as this game has no meaning for New York as far as playoff positioning is concerned. New York is scoring an average of 19.4 points per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL.

The Giants defense played well again last week, allowing only 286 total yards, and held the Eagles to 4 for 12 on third down attempts. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie picked off a pass attempt from Wentz, collecting his fourth interception of the season. The Giants defense is a huge reason why they are in the playoffs after a rough 2015 season. New York is conceding an average of 18.3 points per game, good for third in the NFL.

Redskins Still Alive in Playoff Race

The Washington Redskins jumped out to an early 14-0 lead and never looked back in a 41-21 road win over the Bears last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. Kirk Cousins was solid, throwing for 270 yards with one touchdown and zero interceptions. The 28-year old quarterback is having a solid season, sitting second in NFL passing with 4630 passing yards to go along with a 24:10 TD to INT ratio. DeSean Jackson made his presence felt in the win, making five grabs for 114 yards. Jackson is having another productive season, recording 971 receiving yards with four touchdowns. Washington did huge damage on the ground, rushing for a total of 208 yards with Mack Brown leading the way with 82 yards off eight carries. The Redskins will have to win this game if they want any chance of sneaking into the playoffs as a Wildcard. If the Lions beat Dallas on Boxing Day, then they would also need the Lions to beat Green Bay Sunday night. If Dallas beats Detroit Monday night then the Redskins just need to win this game to get into the playoffs. Washington is scoring an average of 25.7 points per game, ranking them ninth in the NFL.

The Redskins defense did allow 458 total yards last week, which is above their average of 380 yards conceded, however they atoned for that with five interceptions. Josh Norman was outstanding making his first two interceptions since back in week four. The Redskins defense has been their downfall this season, allowing an average of 24.3 points per game, placing them 23rd overall.

Trends:

The New York Giants are:

  • N/A

The Washington Redskins are:

  • 4-0 ATS last 4 vs. NFC East.
  • 10-3 ATS last 13 overall.

I like the Redskins in this matchup. This game has no meaning for the Giants as they will finish with the fifth seed regardless of what happens in week 17, and they there is a chance they rest Manning and Beckham as well as some of their top defensive players for a least a portion of this game. This is a must-win game for the Redskins and I think they will be at their best on both sides of the ball. The Giants have had trouble defending the pass, allowing an average of 251 passing yards per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL, so I expect the Cousins and the Redskins second rated passing game to have no problem moving the ball in the air. Go with the Redskins in this one.

Pick: Washington -7.5

The Redskins will be able to move the ball in the air, but the Giants feature the seventh ranked rush defense, so they should be able to stop Washington’s running game. The Giants do not score a lot of points and they will likely rest some players, so I can’t see them having success against the Redskins defense, and the under is 6-1 in the Giants last seven road games. The under has hit in six out of the Giants last seven games overall, and it should hit again in this one.

Pick: Under 44

5

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.