Cowboys vs. Packers, 01/15/17 – Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

Green Bay Packers
vs.
Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, January 15, 2017 at 4:40pm

Written by on

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Green Bay Packers (11-6; 10-6-1 ATS; 11-6 O/U) vs. Dallas Cowboys (13-3; 10-6 ATS; 6-10 O/U)

NFC Divisional Playoff: Sunday, January 15, 2017 at 4:40pm EST

Line: Dallas -4.5

Total: 52

The Green Bay Packers will head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys in the NFC Divisional Playoff Sunday afternoon from AT&T Stadium. The Packers crushed the Giants 38-13 in the Wildcard game last week, and the Cowboys enjoyed a first round bye after finishing with a 13-3 record.

The Cowboys beat the Packers 30-16 at Lambeau Field in week six. Dak Prescott threw three touchdowns and one interception, and Aaron Rodgers threw for 294 yards with one touchdown and one interception.

Rodgers Dazzles as Packers Dominate Giants

The Green Bay Packers handled the Giants with ease in their 38-13 Wildcard win last week, and have now won seven straight games. Aaron Rodgers continued his dominating play, throwing for 362 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. The 33-year old quarterback has been outstanding, accumulating 4428 yards with a 40:7 TD to INT ratio, and has thrown 22 touchdowns with zero interceptions over his last eight games. Unfortunately for the Packers, Jordy Nelson, who led the Packers in receiving this season, is doubtful for this contest with two fractured ribs. Davante Adams came up huge last week, racking up 125 yards off eight catches, and he will likely be targeted heavily in this contest due to the absence of Nelson. Randall Cobb made his return to the lineup last week and was tremendous, making five grabs for 116 yards and three touchdowns. Cobb adds another element of danger to the Packers offense and is another reliable option for Rodgers. Adams and Cobb will definitely need to step up in Nelson’s absence. Green Bay likely won’t run the ball a whole lot against the Cowboys strong rush defense, especially with Starks and Lacy out of the lineup. The Packers are averaging 27 points per game, good for fourth in the NFL.

The Packers defense was very impressive in the win over the Giants last week, holding Manning to just one touchdown. Green Bay only conceded 70 rushing yards last week, and the biggest key for them in this game will be their ability to stop Ezekiel Elliott on the ground. If they can stop Elliott, which is no easy task, they have a good chance to win this game. The Packers are allowing an average of 24.2 points per game, placing them 21st in the NFL.

Cowboys Look to Beat Packers for Second Time of Year

The Dallas Cowboys are back in the playoffs after a one-year absence but this time it is the rookie tandem of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott that played a big role in getting Dallas a first round bye. Dak Prescott was very impressive all season, showing great poise and finished the year with 3667 passing yards with 23 TD’s and only 4 INT’s. No one has been able to stop rookie phenom Ezekiel Elliot who led the NFL with an astounding 1631 rushing yards with 15 touchdowns on the season. Elliott burned the Packers for 157 rushing yards in the Cowboys win in Green Bay in week six. One player that did not get enough recognition this season was Cole Beasley who lead the Cowboys with a career-high 833 receiving yards which also led all Cowboys receivers. Dez Bryant would have led the team in receiving if it were not for injuries that kept him out of three games. The 28-year old wide receiver still had a solid season, collecting 796 receiving yards on the season. Dallas is averaging 26.3 points per game, good for fifth in the NFL.

The Cowboys feature a strong defense that specializes in stopping the run. The Cowboys will give up yards in the air but it has not translated into the opposition scoring a whole lot of points. Watch for Sean Lee who is always all over the field making big plays. The 30-year old linebacker made a total of 145 total tackles on the season, ranking him fourth in the NFL. Dallas is allowing an average of only 19.1 points per game, good for fifth in the NFL.

Trends:

The Green Bay Packers are:

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Playoff games.
  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games.

The Dallas Cowboys are:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the NFC.

I am taking the points with Green Bay in this contest. I can’t go against Aaron Rodgers in the playoffs. No defense has been able to stop Rodgers, he has thrown 22 touchdowns with zero interceptions over his last eight games. Dallas has a solid defense, however they are allowing an average of 260 passing yards per game, ranking them 26th in the NFL, so I expect Rodgers to continue to put up big numbers. Also, Green Bay owns the eighth-ranked rush defense in the NFL, so I am confident they can at least slow down Elliot. Take the points with the Packers in this one.

Pick: Green Bay +4.5

The Cowboys have a solid defense but they give up a lot of yards in their air and the Packers are obviously a passing team led by the red hot Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay has scored 30 or more points in five straight games and the over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The Cowboys were able to score 30 points against Green Bay earlier this season, and although they won’t score 30 points they will still do some damage, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games against Green Bay.

Pick: Over 52

5

NBA on Wednesday, 1-18-2017

Charlotte Hornets vs. Portland Trailblazers, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s an inter-conference clash between a pair of skidding teams looking to get back on track in Buzz City. The Portland Trail Blazers are on the road as they continue a trip with... Read More

Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s an inter-conference clash between a pair of teams in their respective playoff races in the nation’s capital. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road as they battle the Washi... Read More

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors, 01/18/17 - Prediction

DeMar DeRozan and the Toronto Raptors will take on the surging Philadelphia 76ers in a divisional battle Wednesday night from the Wells Fargo Center.... Read More

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks, 01/18/17 - Prediction

It’s a matchup of Atlantic Division foes up in the Northeast. The New York Knicks continue a road trip as they battle the Boston Celtics Wednesday night. New York lost for the 11... Read More

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Orlando Magic, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

An inter-conference clash of teams trying to pick up a victory takes place down in the Big Easy. The Orlando Magic closes their six game road trip as they take on the New Orleans P... Read More

Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

It’s a matchup of Eastern Conference foes in the Motor City. The Atlanta Hawks are on the road as they battle the Detroit Pistons Wednesday night. Atlanta won for the ninth time ... Read More

Houston Rockets vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 01/18/17 - Prediction

The Houston Rockets will be playing the second game of a back-to-back situation when they host the Milwaukee Bucks at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night.... Read More

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, 01/18/17 - Prediction

Golden State got some revenge on "rival" Cleveland on Monday night, winning with ease, 126-91 at home. Oklahoma City is coming off a 120-98 road loss at the Los Angeles Clippers on... Read More

Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers, 01/18/17 - Preview & Prediction

The Pacers head to Sacramento to take on the Kings on Wednesday night. Both of these teams have aspirations of making the playoffs. The Pacers have won six of ten and are curren... Read More

NCAAB on Wednesday, 1-18-2017

Florida vs. South Carolina, 01/18/17 - Prediction & Preview

The red-hot South Carolina Gamecocks face the even hotter Florida Gators on Wednesday in a matchup of undefeated SEC teams. SC is now 4-0 in the SEC after beating Ole Miss, 67-56 o... Read More

Missouri St vs. Indiana St, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

The Missouri State Bears will battle the Indiana State Sycamores in a conference matchup Wednesday night from the Hulman Center.... Read More

Fordham vs. VCU, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

The VCU Rams will be trying to bounce back from a rare loss when they visit the Fordham Rams at Rose Hill Gym on Wednesday night.... Read More

Temple vs. Cincinnati, 01/18/17 - Expert Prediction

Temple has now lost five of six games after falling at home to Tulsa, 70-68. The Owls are just 1-5 in the AAC, while Cincinnati is 5-0 and has won eight straight games overall. The... Read More

See all upcoming picks!

Last Updated: January 13, 2017

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.