Ravens vs. Giants, 10/16/16 - Prediction & Preview

Game Snapshot

#253 Baltimore Ravens
#254 New York Giants

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports
Baltimore Ravens (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U) at New York Giants (2-3 SU, 1-3-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U)

NFL: Saturday, October 16, 2016 at 1:00 p.m. EST

The Line: New York Giants -3. Total: 43.5.

The New York Giants will be hoping to halt a two-game losing streak when they host the Baltimore Ravens at MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon. New York opened with wins over Dallas and New Orleans before falling to Washington, Minnesota, and Green Bay. The Ravens have also struggled since a hot 3-0 start. They are coming off consecutive setbacks at the hands of Oakland and Washington, both at home.

Off the Marc

A winning record through five games was not enough to save Baltimore offensive coordinator Marc Trestman, who was fired following Sunday’s 16-10 loss to the Redskins.

“After very careful consideration, I have decided to make a change to our offensive coaching staff and have replaced Marc Trestman with Marty Mornhinweg as offensive coordinator for the rest of the season,” head coach John Harbaugh revealed. “My obligations are to the team, the organization, and the fans to be the very best team we can be…. Our expectations are high, and we look forward to fulfilling them.”

The Ravens certainly haven’t fulfilled any expectations up to this point of the season. They are currently 23rd in the NFL in total offense at 338.2 yards per game and they are scoring a mere 18.8 points per outing. Against a Washington defense that was ranked 29th in the NFL at the time, Baltimore amassed just 306 total yards of offense.

Blood in the water

Giants’ much-maligned wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. finally caught his first touchdown pass in Sunday night’s 23-16 loss to the Packers. Beckham hauled in an eight-yarder from Eli Manning with 2:56 remaining in the game to pull within seven points. He finished with 56 yards on five receptions and stayed out of trouble after incurring an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty in a heated Week 4 setback against the Vikings.

“You have to accept the situation and know that that’s going to be the case,” Beckham said of opposing cornerbacks whom he perceives to be trying to get into his head. “It’s like blood in the water. The shark smells the blood, he’s going to swim around it. Apparently, there is blood in the water. You just keep swimming; be fearless. I’m always going to go with coach (Ben McAdoo). It’s tough to be in that situation, but it is what it is.”

NFL Trends:

The Baltimore Ravens are:

  • 1-5-1 ATS last 7 in October.
  • 1-4-1 ATS last 6 following an ATS loss.

The New York Giants are:

  • 4-1 ATS last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Baltimore is far from out of it at 3-2, but the offense has been disappointing at best and now the team is playing with a new offensive coordinator. Will there be growing pains for Mornhinweg and company in Week 6? It’s possible. As for New York, Beckham took a relative step forward with his performance and attitude against the Packers this past Sunday night. And for whatever it’s worth, the Giants certainly aren’t lacking confidence despite their recent skid. “Our division is good,” offensive lineman Justin Pugh assured. “I think we’re the best team in our division. Even though we sit at the bottom I think every team doesn’t want to play us. But we have to go out and prove that.” They should be able to do it at the expense of the reeling Ravens.

Pick: New York Giants -3

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Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.