New York Islanders vs. Florida Panthers, 01/11/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#51 Florida Panthers
vs.
#52 New York Islanders

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Florida Panthers (18-16-3-5 SU, 18-24 PL, 16-20-6 O/U) vs New York Islanders (15-15-5-3 SU, 18-20 PL, 20-14-4 O/U)

When: 7:00 PM ET, Wednesday, January 11, 2016

Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York

Lines: New York -119/ Florida +108

Total: 5

Tonight in the NHL the Florida Panthers will brawl with the New York Islanders at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. The Panthers enter this contest off a 3-0 road win over the Devils, while the Islanders are off a 2-1 OT loss in the desert against the Coyotes. The Over is 6-2-1 the last nine games between these teams here at home.

Luongo Has Strong Outing Vs Devils

The Florida Panthers have really struggled this season so far, especially on the road, but the grabbed a nice 3-0 win in their last road game, which was at New Jersey. Grabbing the win over the Devils was Roberto Luongo, who has gone 12-17 with a 2.39 GAA on the year, including 4-8  with a 2.50 GAA on the road, while vs the Islanders in his career he has gone 11-15 with a 2.59 GAA. Luongo stopped at 28 shots that he faced in the game for his 1st shutout of the year and 56th of his career. The Panthers are now just 3-6 in their last nine games overall and they have gone just 8-15 on the road for the year, compared to going 10-11 at home. They just haven’t played well at home or on the road.

Scoring in the win over the Devils was Reilly Smith, which was his 8th of the year, Jussi Jokinen, which was his 4th of the year and Vincent Trocheck, which was his 8th of the year. This is not a good offensive team and that really has to change if they hope for a playoff spot. Florida comes in ranked 26th in the league in scoring at 2.26 gpg, while also ranking 4th in shots taken (32.0 spg) and 23rd in power play conversions, converting on 15.0% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 10th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.57 gpg, while also ranking 22nd in shots allowed (31.1) and 6th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 14.9% of their chances.

Isles Fall In OT In The Desert

The New York Islanders have also struggled this year, especially on the road where they have gone just 4-12 on the year so far. The Isles come in off a BB road losses vs the Avs and Coyotes and that is not good as both teams have been bad this year. The Isles are currently sitting in last place in the Metro Division and they are 22 points out of first. This is a team that will struggle this year as they are not great on offense and their goaltending is very shoddy. Scoring in the loss to Arizona was Alan Quine, which was his 3rd of the year. His goal came near the end of the 2nd period and gave the Isles a 1-0 lead at the time. The Coyotes then tied the game in the 3rd period and eventually won the game in a shootout.   

Absorbing the loss against the Coyotes was Thomas Greiss, who is now 9-7 with a 2.31 GAA on the year, including 6-3 with a 2.68 GAA here at home, while vs the Panthers in his career he has gone 1-2 with a 3.29 GAA. The Islanders are 12th in the league in scoring at 2.76 gpg, while also ranking 16th in shots taken (29.6 spg) and 24th in power play conversions, converting on 14.8% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice they rank 27th in goals allowed, giving up 3.00 gpg, while also ranking 29th in shots allowed (33.3%) and 20th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 19.4% of their chances.

Trends

Florida is:

  • 5-17 in their last 22 games following a win
  • 2-8 in their last 10 when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game

New York is:

  • 7-0 in their last seven home games following a road trip of seven or more days
  • 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

Both teams have not played very well this year and both could miss the playoffs. The Panthers have really struggled on the road and they have been horrible of late off a win, while the Isles have been strong off a long road trip. The Isles can win this game and they do have the better offense, while the goaltending is about the same. Look for the Isles to win, what could be a high-scoring game.  

Pick: New York -119

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David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.