St. Louis Blues vs. Los Angeles Kings, 01/12/17 - Expert Prediction

Game Snapshot

#18 Los Angeles Kings
vs.
#17 ST. Louis Blues

Thursday, January 1 2017, at 10:35pm EST

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Image licensed from USA Today Sports

St. Louis Blues (21-15-4-1) vs. Los Angeles Kings (20-17-1-3)

NHL: Thursday, January 12, 2017 at 10:30pm EST

Line: Los Angeles -126/St. Louis +114

Total: 5

The Los Angeles Kings will host the St. Louis Blues in a Western Conference matchup Thursday night from the Staples Center. The Blues are coming off a 5-3 home loss to the Bruins, and the Kings fell 6-4 to the Stars in their latest action. The Blues beat the Kings by a 1-0 score in St. Louis back in October.

Blues Inconsistent Play Continues

The St. Louis Blues continued their inconsistent play after losing 5-3 to the Bruins on Tuesday night. The Blues found themselves down 3-0 after the first period and could not recover in only their fifth regulation home loss of the season. David Perron collected two assists in the loss, and now has five points over his last eight games. The 28-year old left winger is now sixth in team scoring with 22 points on the season. Vladimir Tarasenko had his three-game point streak snapped in the loss, but overall the dynamic winger is having a great season, collecting 43 points (20 goals, 23 assists) and is on pace for 86 points which would be a new career high. St. Louis has not been able to string two wins together in quite some time, last wining consecutive games in late November to December 1st. The Blues are scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game, good for eighth in the NHL.

The Blues will likely give the call to Jake Allen in this one. Allen was pulled after allowing three goals on 11 shots to the Bruins on Tuesday night. Overall the 26-year old net minder has not been as sharp as last season, and now owns a 2.70 GAA with a .902 save percentage on the season. St. Louis is now conceding an average of three goals per game, placing them down at 24th in the NHL.

Kings Falls to Stars, Continue Long Home Stand

The Los Angeles Kings will continue their seven game home stand looking to rebound from a 6-4 loss to the Dallas Stars on Monday night. The Kings rallied from a 4-2 deficit to tie the game in the third period, but the Stars scored answered with two quick goals of their own. Drew Doughty collected a goal and an assist in the loss, and has now recorded four points over his last two games. The star defenseman is having another solid season, scoring seven goals with 15 assists and owns a plus four rating. Jeff Carter is red hot right now, collecting seven points (three goals, four assists) over his last five games. The 32-year old center is leading the Kings in scoring with 22 goals and 15 assists on the season. The Kings have not won two in a row in nearly a month, and are 1-2 so far on their seven game home stand. L.A. is now scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game, ranking them 21st in the NHL.

The Kings will likely go with Peter Budaj between the pipes in this contest. Budaj was pulled in Saturday’s loss to the Stars, after making 17 saves on 22 shots. The 34-year old net minder has done a good job filling in for the injured Quick, posting a 2.13 GAA with a .916 save percentage on the season. The Kings are now allowing an average of 2.5 goals per game, placing them eighth in the NHL.

Trends:

The St. Louis Blues are:

  • 2-8 in their last 10 games playing on one day of rest.
  • 1-7 in their last 8 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.

The Los Angeles Kings are:

  • 6-1 in their last 7 games when their opponent allows five or more goals in their previous game.
  • 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing more than five goals in their previous game.
  • 42-19 in their last 61 home games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.

I like the Kings and the under in this one. The Blues have struggled defensively as of late, allowing three or more goals in eight out of their last ten games and St. Louis has only won five road games all season. The Kings are a solid 12-6-1 at home this season so I think they are the play in this one. I like the under as these teams played to a 1-0 game earlier this season and the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams.

Pick: L.A. Kings -126 and Under 5

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Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.